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NBAPlayer propPoints
Jaxson Hayes under 8.5 points
Won51 of 76last season · 67%
Best price-170Bovada
Price needs63.0%wins to break even
Every game52 of 77this season and last
Trend score-11.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 63% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 63% to break even | 44%–95% | 17 points betterwon 80%, needs 63% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 63% to break even | 54%–93% | 17 points betterwon 80%, needs 63% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 63% to break even | 46%–83% | 4 points betterwon 67%, needs 63% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 63% to break even | 27%–100% | 37 points betterwon 100%, needs 63% |
| Last season | 51 of 7667%needs 63% to break even | 58%–75% | 4 points betterwon 67%, needs 63% |
| Every game | 52 of 7768%needs 63% to break even | 58%–76% | 5 points betterwon 68%, needs 63% |
Games like tonight
Tonight UTAH plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Jaxson Hayes under 8.5 points1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Points in each game against under 8.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 8.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  MEM | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 11 |  OKC | 18 | -9.5 | Lost |
| May 9 | OKC | 1 | +7.5 | Won |
| May 7 | OKC | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 5 | OKC | 3 | +5.5 | Won |
| May 1 |  HOU | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 29 | HOU | 0 | +8.5 | Won |
| Apr 26 | HOU | 2 | +6.5 | Won |
| Apr 24 | HOU | 12 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 21 | HOU | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 | HOU | 4 | +4.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 |  DAL | 23 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Apr 2 | OKC | 12 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 31 |  CLE | 4 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 30 |  WSH | 19 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Mar 27 |  BKN | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 |  IND | 21 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Mar 23 |  DET | 11 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  ORL | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 19 |  MIA | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 18 | HOU | 1 | +7.5 | Won |
| Mar 16 | HOU | 0 | +8.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  DEN | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 |  NY | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 6 | IND | 9 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 5 | DEN | 19 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 |  NO | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 |  SAC | 4 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 |  GS | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 |  PHX | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 22 |  BOS | 2 | +6.5 | Won |
| Feb 20 |  LAC | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 12 | DAL | 16 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Feb 10 |  SA | 13 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Feb 9 | OKC | 12 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | GS | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 3 | BKN | 9 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 1 | NY | 2 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 30 | WSH | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 28 | CLE | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 26 |  CHI | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 | DAL | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 22 | LAC | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 20 | DEN | 9 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 18 |  TOR | 3 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 12 | SAC | 12 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 9 |  MIL | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 | SA | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 6 | NO | 2 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 | MEM | 1 | +7.5 | Won |
| Jan 2 | MEM | 12 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 30 | DET | 13 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 | PHX | 2 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | LAC | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 |  UTAH | 16 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | PHX | 12 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 10 | SA | 2 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 |  PHI | 3 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 | BOS | 3 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 4 | TOR | 4 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 1 | PHX | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | NO | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | DAL | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 25 | LAC | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | UTAH | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 18 | UTAH | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | MIL | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | NO | 2 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | OKC | 2 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 |  CHA | 2 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  ATL | 4 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | SA | 9 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 3 |  POR | 4 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | MIA | 15 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 31 | MEM | 2 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 |  MIN | 2 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 21 | GS | 4 | +4.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 pointsJaxson Hayes · Today 9:40 PM ET |  -232at DraftKings | 45 of 76· last season59%needs 70% to break even | Record is last season's | -39.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 6.5 pointsJaxson Hayes · Today 9:40 PM ET |  -138at FanDuel | 34 of 76· last season45%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -39.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 7.5 pointsJaxson Hayes · Today 9:40 PM ET |  +100at Fanatics | 33 of 76· last season43%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 8.5 pointsJaxson Hayes · Today 9:40 PM ET | +135at Fanatics | 25 of 76· last season33%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 9.5 pointsJaxson Hayes · Today 9:40 PM ET | +220at FanDuel | 21 of 76· last season28%needs 31% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 10.5 pointsJaxson Hayes · Today 9:40 PM ET |  +270at Caesars | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 27% to break even | -14.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Jaxson Hayes in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.