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NBAPlayer propPts + reb
Jaxson Hayes under 14.5 pts + reb
Won58 of 76last season · 76%
Best price-150Bovada
Price needs60.0%wins to break even
Every game59 of 77this season and last
Trend score-4.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 60% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 60% to break even | 44%–95% | 20 points betterwon 80%, needs 60% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 60% to break even | 54%–93% | 20 points betterwon 80%, needs 60% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 60% to break even | 52%–87% | 13 points betterwon 73%, needs 60% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 60% to break even | 27%–100% | 40 points betterwon 100%, needs 60% |
| Last season | 58 of 7676%needs 60% to break even | 67%–83% | 16 points betterwon 76%, needs 60% |
| Every game | 59 of 7777%needs 60% to break even | 68%–84% | 17 points betterwon 77%, needs 60% |
Games like tonight
Tonight UTAH plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Jaxson Hayes under 14.5 pts + reb1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Pts + reb in each game against under 14.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb | Beat 14.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  MEM | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 11 |  OKC | 23 | -8.5 | Lost |
| May 9 | OKC | 3 | +11.5 | Won |
| May 7 | OKC | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| May 5 | OKC | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| May 1 |  HOU | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| Apr 29 | HOU | 1 | +13.5 | Won |
| Apr 26 | HOU | 4 | +10.5 | Won |
| Apr 24 | HOU | 16 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 21 | HOU | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 | HOU | 5 | +9.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 |  DAL | 27 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Apr 2 | OKC | 13 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 31 |  CLE | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Mar 30 |  WSH | 26 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Mar 27 |  BKN | 18 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 |  IND | 31 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Mar 23 |  DET | 14 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 |  ORL | 15 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 19 |  MIA | 11 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 18 | HOU | 4 | +10.5 | Won |
| Mar 16 | HOU | 0 | +14.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  DEN | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 |  NY | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 6 | IND | 13 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 | DEN | 24 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 |  NO | 14 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 |  SAC | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 |  GS | 11 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 |  PHX | 14 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 22 |  BOS | 3 | +11.5 | Won |
| Feb 20 |  LAC | 11 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 12 | DAL | 23 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Feb 10 |  SA | 17 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 9 | OKC | 16 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | GS | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 3 | BKN | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 1 | NY | 4 | +10.5 | Won |
| Jan 30 | WSH | 13 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 28 | CLE | 12 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 26 |  CHI | 12 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 | DAL | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Jan 22 | LAC | 8 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 20 | DEN | 14 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 18 |  TOR | 8 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 12 | SAC | 17 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 9 |  MIL | 8 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 | SA | 17 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 6 | NO | 5 | +9.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 | MEM | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Jan 2 | MEM | 14 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 30 | DET | 15 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 | PHX | 3 | +11.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | LAC | 13 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 |  UTAH | 19 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | PHX | 21 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 10 | SA | 5 | +9.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 |  PHI | 8 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 | BOS | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 4 | TOR | 8 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 1 | PHX | 8 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | NO | 14 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | DAL | 8 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 25 | LAC | 12 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | UTAH | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 18 | UTAH | 11 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | MIL | 16 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | NO | 5 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | OKC | 4 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 |  CHA | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  ATL | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | SA | 13 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 |  POR | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | MIA | 20 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 31 | MEM | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 |  MIN | 4 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 21 | GS | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 12.5 pts + rebJaxson Hayes · Today 9:40 PM ET |  -150at Bovada | 29 of 76· last season38%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -42.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 13.5 pts + rebJaxson Hayes · Today 9:40 PM ET |  -102at FanDuel | 24 of 76· last season32%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 14.5 pts + rebJaxson Hayes · Today 9:40 PM ET | +132at FanDuel | 18 of 76· last season24%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Jaxson Hayes in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.