This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 69% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 69% to break even | 5%–56% | 49 points shortwon 20%, needs 69% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 69% to break even | 19%–65% | 29 points shortwon 40%, needs 69% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 69% to break even | 28%–67% | 22 points shortwon 47%, needs 69% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 69% to break even | 27%–100% | 31 points betterwon 100%, needs 69% |
| Last season | 28 of 4858%needs 69% to break even | 46%–69% | 10 points shortwon 58%, needs 69% |
| Every game |
Tonight UTAH plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against under 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 pointsJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 8.5 reb + astJaren Jackson Jr |
| 47%–70% |
| 10 points shortwon 59%, needs 69% |
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 15 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Feb 11 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 22 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 22 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 16 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 26 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 26 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 14 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 21 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 14 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 25 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 15 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 31 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 24 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 21 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 11 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 22 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 17 | 28 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 31 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 12 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 6 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 13 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 7 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 13 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 24 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 27 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 16 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 18 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 26 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 18 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 9 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 21 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 20 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 15 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 18 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 16 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 18 | +2.5 | Won | |
| -225at DraftKings |
| 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 69% to break even |
| 3.6Good |
| Over 15.5 pointsJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | -200at Bovada | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 67% to break even | -4.3Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 pointsJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | -150at Bovada | 34 of 48· last season71%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.6Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 pointsJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | -115at DraftKings | 28 of 48· last season58%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.8Not beating its price |
| Over 18.5 pointsJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | +110at Fanatics | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 48% to break even | -8.2Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 pointsJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 43% to break even | -6.6Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 pointsJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | +165at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 38% to break even | -2.4Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 pointsJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | +205at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 33% to break even | 0.9Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -110at Bovada |
| 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 52% to break even |
| 6.3Good |
| Under 9.5 reb + astJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | -170at Bovada | 38 of 48· last season79%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.0Slight |
| Under 6.5 reboundsJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | -135at Bovada | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 57% to break even | -3.9Not beating its price |
| Over 22.5 pts + rebJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | -165at Bovada | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 62% to break even | -4.6Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 reboundsJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | +130at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 43% to break even | -6.6Not beating its price |
| Under 7.5 reboundsJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | -245at Bovada | 38 of 48· last season79%needs 71% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.3Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pts + reb + astJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | -168at DraftKings | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 63% to break even | -7.3Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 pts + rebJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | -135at Bovada | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 57% to break even | -8.2Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pts + rebJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | -106at FanDuel | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 51% to break even | -8.8Not beating its price |
| Over 28.5 pts + reb + astJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | +125at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 44% to break even | -8.9Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 threesJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 29 of 48· last season60%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.3Not beating its price |
| Over 26.5 pts + reb + astJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even | -10.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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