This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 57% to break even | 44%–95% | 23 points betterwon 80%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 57% to break even | 54%–93% | 23 points betterwon 80%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 57% to break even | 46%–83% | 9 points betterwon 67%, needs 57% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 57% to break even | 0%–73% | 57 points shortwon 0%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 29 of 4860%needs 57% to break even | 49%–71% | 3 points betterwon 60%, needs 57% |
Tonight UTAH plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + reb in each game against over 23.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 22.5 pts + rebJaren Jackson Jr |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 8.5 reb + astJaren Jackson Jr |
| Every game | 29 of 4959%needs 57% to break even | 47%–70% | 2 points betterwon 59%, needs 57% |
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb | Beat 23.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 20 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Feb 11 | 27 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 27 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 26 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 36 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 25 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 30 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 24 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 38 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 23 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 22 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 33 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 19 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 30 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 23 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 30 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 26 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 27 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 39 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 33 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 28 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 14 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 30 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 17 | 40 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 35 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 9 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 16 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 13 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 19 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 26 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 32 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 22 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 24 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 31 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 20 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 25 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 24 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 21 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 15 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 25 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 29 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 19 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 24 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 23 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 19 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 22 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 26 | +2.5 | Won | |
| +125at Bovada |
| 16 of 48· last season33%needs 44% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -31.8Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 pts + rebJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | +105at Bovada | 19 of 48· last season40%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.9Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 pts + rebJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | -120at Bovada | 23 of 48· last season48%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -110at Bovada |
| 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 52% to break even |
| 6.3Good |
| Over 14.5 pointsJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | -225at DraftKings | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 69% to break even | 3.6Good |
| Over 21.5 pointsJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | +205at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 33% to break even | 0.9Slight |
| Under 9.5 reb + astJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | -170at Bovada | 38 of 48· last season79%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.0Slight |
| Over 20.5 pointsJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | +165at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 38% to break even | -2.4Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 reboundsJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | -135at Bovada | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 57% to break even | -3.9Not beating its price |
| Over 15.5 pointsJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | -200at Bovada | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 67% to break even | -4.3Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 pointsJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | -150at Bovada | 34 of 48· last season71%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.6Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 pointsJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 43% to break even | -6.6Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 reboundsJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | +130at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 43% to break even | -6.6Not beating its price |
| Under 7.5 reboundsJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | -245at Bovada | 38 of 48· last season79%needs 71% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.3Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pts + reb + astJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | -168at DraftKings | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 63% to break even | -7.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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