This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 44% to break even | 44%–95% | 36 points betterwon 80%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 44% to break even | 35%–81% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 44% to break even | 33%–72% | 9 points betterwon 53%, needs 44% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 44% to break even | 0%–73% | 44 points shortwon 0%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 19 of 4840%needs 44% to break even | 29%–51% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 19 of 4939%needs 44% to break even | 28%–51% | 6 points shortwon 39%, needs 44% |
Tonight UTAH plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + reb + ast in each game against over 28.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb + ast | Beat 28.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 22 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Feb 11 | 29 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 30 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 29 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 38 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 27 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 34 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 25 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 41 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 25 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 22 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 34 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 21 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 31 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 24 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 32 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 18 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 28 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 30 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 40 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 34 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 30 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 15 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 33 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 17 | 43 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 39 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 20 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 13 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 16 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 15 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 24 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 28 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 34 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 26 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 27 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 33 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 20 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 28 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 26 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 21 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 16 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 26 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 32 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 20 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 27 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 23 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 20 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 23 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 27 | -1.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 24.5 pts + reb + astJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | +130at Bovada | 17 of 48· last season35%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 25.5 pts + reb + astJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | +110at Bovada | 19 of 48· last season40%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 26.5 pts + reb + astJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 22 of 48· last season46%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 27.5 pts + reb + astJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | -135at Bovada | 26 of 48· last season54%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 28.5 pts + reb + astJaren Jackson Jr · Today 9:40 PM ET | -165at Bovada | 29 of 48· last season60%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.