This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 34% to break even | 27%–86% | 26 points betterwon 60%, needs 34% | 0.8threes |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 34% to break even | 13%–56% | 4 points shortwon 30%, needs 34% | 0.4threes |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 34% to break even | 8%–41% | 14 points shortwon 20%, needs 34% | 0.3threes |
| This season | 2 of 2100%needs 34% to break even | 42%–100% | 66 points betterwon 100%, needs 34% | 1threes |
| Last season | 23 of 8527%needs 34% to break even | 20%–36% | 7 points shortwon 27%, needs 34% | 0.3threes |
| Every game | 25 of 8729%needs 34% to break even | 21%–37% | 5 points shortwon 29%, needs 34% | 0.3threes |
Tonight HOU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, on a back-to-back, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 11 of 44 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Threes in each game against over 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 pointsAmen Thompson · Today 8:40 PM ETWithout VanVleet | -191at Kalshi | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 66% to break even31 of 44 on the road | Won last 15 in a row | 8.3Strong | |
| Over 15.5 pointsAmen Thompson · Today 8:40 PM ETWithout VanVleet | -175at Fanatics | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 64% to break even29 of 44 on the road | -0.4Not beating its price | ||
| Gets a triple-doubleAmen Thompson · Today 8:40 PM ETWithout VanVleet | +1800at Fanatics | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 5% to break even0 of 44 on the road | -5.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 16.5 pointsAmen Thompson · Today 8:40 PM ETWithout VanVleet | -120at BetMGM | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 55% to break even25 of 44 on the road | -6.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 17.5 pointsAmen Thompson · Today 8:40 PM ETWithout VanVleet | +105at Fanatics | 48 of 85· last season56%needs 49% to break even22 of 44 on the road | Record is last season's | -8.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 22.5 pts + astAmen Thompson · Today 8:40 PM ETWithout VanVleet | -120at DraftKings | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 55% to break even26 of 44 on the road | -8.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 19.5 pointsAmen Thompson · Today 8:40 PM ETWithout VanVleet | +189at Kalshi | 35 of 85· last season41%needs 35% to break even16 of 44 on the road | Record is last season's | -11.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 25.5 pts + rebAmen Thompson · Today 8:40 PM ETWithout VanVleet | -117at DraftKings | 47 of 85· last season55%needs 54% to break even23 of 44 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 6.5 assistsAmen Thompson · Today 8:40 PM ETWithout VanVleet | +190at BetMGM | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 34% to break even15 of 44 on the road | -13.1Not beating its price | ||
| Over 24.5 pts + astAmen Thompson · Today 8:40 PM ETWithout VanVleet | +150at BetMGM | 38 of 85· last season45%needs 40% to break even18 of 44 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 8.5 reboundsAmen Thompson · Today 8:40 PM ETWithout VanVleet | -129at DraftKings | 53 of 85· last season62%needs 56% to break even24 of 44 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 18.5 pointsAmen Thompson · Today 8:40 PM ETWithout VanVleet | +130at Fanatics | 39 of 85· last season46%needs 43% to break even17 of 44 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.