This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 56% to break even | 27%–86% | 4 points betterwon 60%, needs 56% | 7.8rebounds |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 56% to break even | 35%–81% | 4 points betterwon 60%, needs 56% | 7.6rebounds |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 56% to break even | 46%–83% | 10 points betterwon 67%, needs 56% | 7.3rebounds |
| This season | 0 of 20%needs 56% to break even | 0%–58% | 56 points shortwon 0%, needs 56% | 10rebounds |
| Last season | 53 of 8562%needs 56% to break even | 53%–70% | 6 points betterwon 62%, needs 56% | 7.7rebounds |
| Every game | 53 of 8761%needs 56% to break even | 52%–69% | 5 points betterwon 61%, needs 56% | 7.8rebounds |
Tonight HOU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, on a back-to-back, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 24 of 44 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rebounds in each game against under 8.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rebounds | Beat 8.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 1 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 29 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 3 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 3 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 18 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 12 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 12 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 3 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 12 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 12 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 12 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 12 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 12 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 14 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 2 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 1 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 reboundsAmen Thompson · Today 8:40 PM ET | -160at DraftKings | 44 of 85· last season52%needs 62% to break even25 of 44 on the road | Record is last season's | -27.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 8.5 reboundsAmen Thompson · Today 8:40 PM ET | +106at BetOnline | 32 of 85· last season38%needs 49% to break even20 of 44 on the road | Record is last season's | -26.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 9.5 reboundsAmen Thompson · Today 8:40 PM ET | +165at BetMGM | 20 of 85· last season24%needs 38% to break even12 of 44 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.