This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 42% to break even | 27%–86% | 18 points betterwon 60%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 42% to break even | 35%–81% | 18 points betterwon 60%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 42% to break even | 46%–83% | 25 points betterwon 67%, needs 42% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 42% to break even | 27%–100% | 58 points betterwon 100%, needs 42% |
| Last season | 50 of 8857%needs 42% to break even | 48%–65% | 15 points betterwon 57%, needs 42% |
| Every game | 51 of 8957%needs 42% to break even | 49%–66% | 16 points betterwon 57%, needs 42% |
Tonight HOU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against hou 1h -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU to win moneylineHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris |
| 1H margin |
|---|
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 32 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 1 | -18 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | -11 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 21 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 17 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 19 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 13 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 21 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | -17 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 8 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | -12 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 8 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | -6 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | -12 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | -10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 27 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 21 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | -6 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | -12 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 8 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 8 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | -10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | -10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | -6 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 11 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 18 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 14 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 11 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 8 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 22 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | -11 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 19 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | -12 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 17 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | -9 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 27 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | -11 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 18 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 11 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| 54 of 88· last season61%needs 30% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 7.8Good |
| HOU +7.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -113at BetRivers | 71 of 88· last season81%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | 6.9Good |
| HOU +4.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +107at Polymarket | 66 of 88· last season75%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | 5.2Good |
| Under 221.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +166at Kalshi | 47 of 88· last season53%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | 3.2Good |
| Under 220.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +169at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 37% to break even | 3.1Good |
| HOU +9.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -187at Polymarket | 76 of 88· last season86%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | 2.3Slight |
| HOU +5.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -109at Polymarket | 67 of 88· last season76%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.8Slight |
| HOU -1.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +181at Kalshi | 52 of 88· last season59%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.5Slight |
| Under 222.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +143at Polymarket | 48 of 88· last season55%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.1Slight |
| HOU +1.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +152at Kalshi | 57 of 88· last season65%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.4Not beating its price |
| Under 219.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +198at Kalshi | 43 of 88· last season49%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.8Not beating its price |
| Under 223.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +137at Polymarket | 48 of 88· last season55%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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