This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 50% to break even | 14%–73% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 50% to break even | 35%–81% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 50% to break even | 46%–83% | 17 points betterwon 67%, needs 50% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 50% to break even | 27%–100% | 50 points betterwon 100%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 48 of 9749%needs 50% to break even | 41%–58% | evenwon 49%, needs 50% |
| Every game |
Tonight SA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rebounds in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 reboundsDe'Aaron Fox · Today 9:40 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 assistsDe'Aaron Fox · Today 9:40 PM ET |
| 49 of 9850%needs 50% to break even |
| 42%–58% |
| evenwon 50%, needs 50% |
| Date | Opponent | Rebounds | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jun 13 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 10 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 8 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 5 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 3 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 30 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 26 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | 10 | +6.5 | Won | |
| May 22 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 15 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 12 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 8 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 6 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | STARS | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | WORLD | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | STARS | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 9 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 10 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| -131at Kalshi |
| 49 of 97· last season51%needs 57% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -29.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +193at Polymarket |
| 52 of 97· last season54%needs 34% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -2.5Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 stealsDe'Aaron Fox · Today 9:40 PM ETDay-to-day | +166at Kalshi | 31 of 97· last season32%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.6Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 pointsDe'Aaron Fox · Today 9:40 PM ETDay-to-day | +109at Kalshi | 60 of 97· last season62%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.3Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 threesDe'Aaron Fox · Today 9:40 PM ETDay-to-day | -175at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 64% to break even | -19.6Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 threesDe'Aaron Fox · Today 9:40 PM ETDay-to-day | +129at Kalshi | 48 of 97· last season49%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.8Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 pointsDe'Aaron Fox · Today 9:40 PM ETDay-to-day | -148at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 60% to break even | -25.3Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 assistsDe'Aaron Fox · Today 9:40 PM ETDay-to-day | -168at Kalshi | 45 of 97· last season46%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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