This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 48% to break even | 5%–56% | 28 points shortwon 20%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 48% to break even | 27%–73% | 2 points betterwon 50%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 48% to break even | 28%–67% | 1 points shortwon 47%, needs 48% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 48% to break even | 0%–73% | 48 points shortwon 0%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 56 of 10653%needs 48% to break even | 45%–61% | 5 points betterwon 53%, needs 48% |
| Every game | 56 of 10752%needs 48% to break even | 44%–60% | 5 points betterwon 52%, needs 48% |
Tonight SA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + reb in each game against over 15.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb | Beat 15.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jun 13 | 21 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jun 10 | 10 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 8 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 5 | 12 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 3 | 26 | +10.5 | Won | |
| May 30 | 26 | +10.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | 16 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 26 | 30 | +14.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | 6 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| May 22 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 20 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 18 | 20 | +4.5 | Won | |
| May 15 | 23 | +7.5 | Won | |
| May 12 | 12 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | 18 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 6 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 24 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 28 | 26 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 21 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 6 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 16 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 23 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 21 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 18 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 21 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 21 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 8 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 17 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 16 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 18 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 5 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 16 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 29 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 23 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 17 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 7 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 28 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 16 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 23 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 12 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 14 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 3 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 10 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 7 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 21 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 19 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 18 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 5 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 17 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 20 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 35 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 17 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 12 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 24 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 19 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 24 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 25 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 20 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 31 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 30 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 17 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 42 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 9 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 5 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 14 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 6 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 10 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 19 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 16 | 5 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 10 | 23 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | 23 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 19 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 9 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 35 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 23 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 22 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 24 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 10 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 14 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 16 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 9 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 2 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 29 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 21 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 7 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 18 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 19 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 9 | -6.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 13.5 pts + rebJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | +115at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 47% to break even | -15.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 14.5 pts + rebJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | -108at FanDuel | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even | -19.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 15.5 pts + rebJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | -145at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 59% to break even | -23.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes double-doubleJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | +2200at Fanatics | 8 of 106· last season8%needs 4% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 7.5 pointsJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | -208at DraftKings | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 68% to break even | -8.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 1.5 threesJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | -183at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 65% to break even | -10.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 6.5 reb + astJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | +100at DraftKings | 64 of 106· last season60%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 11.5 pointsJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | +165at Bovada | 47 of 106· last season44%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 7.5 reb + astJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | +165at Bovada | 47 of 106· last season44%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 19.5 pts + reb + astJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | +200at FanDuel | 43 of 106· last season41%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 2.5 threesJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | +152at Kalshi | 43 of 106· last season41%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 11.5 pts + astJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | +105at Bovada | 57 of 106· last season54%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 12.5 pointsJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | +200at Caesars | 41 of 106· last season39%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 9.5 pointsJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | -105at Fanatics | 59 of 106· last season56%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 3.5 reboundsJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | -280at Bovada | 86 of 106· last season81%needs 74% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.