This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 4% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 4% to break even | 0%–35% | 4 points shortwon 0%, needs 4% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 4% to break even | 2%–35% | 6 points betterwon 10%, needs 4% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 157%needs 4% to break even | 2%–25% | 2 points betterwon 7%, needs 4% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 4% to break even | 0%–73% | 4 points shortwon 0%, needs 4% |
| Last season | 8 of 1068%needs 4% to break even | 4%–13% | 3 points betterwon 8%, needs 4% |
| Every game | 8 of 1077%needs 4% to break even | 4%–13% | 3 points betterwon 7%, needs 4% |
Tonight SA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Double-double in each game against yes, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Double-double | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jun 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 pointsJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | -208at DraftKings | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 68% to break even | -8.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 1.5 threesJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | -183at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 65% to break even | -10.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 6.5 reb + astJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | +100at DraftKings | 64 of 106· last season60%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 11.5 pointsJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | +165at Bovada | 47 of 106· last season44%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 7.5 reb + astJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | +165at Bovada | 47 of 106· last season44%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 2.5 threesJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | +159at Kalshi | 43 of 106· last season41%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 19.5 pts + reb + astJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | +200at FanDuel | 43 of 106· last season41%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 11.5 pts + astJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | +105at Bovada | 57 of 106· last season54%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 12.5 pointsJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | +200at Caesars | 41 of 106· last season39%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 9.5 pointsJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | -105at Fanatics | 59 of 106· last season56%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 3.5 reboundsJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | -280at Bovada | 86 of 106· last season81%needs 74% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 10.5 pointsJulian Champagnie · Today 9:40 PM ETHarris out: next up at PF | +125at Bovada | 53 of 106· last season50%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.