This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 49% to break even | 14%–73% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 49% to break even | 13%–56% | 19 points shortwon 30%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 49% to break even | 8%–41% | 29 points shortwon 20%, needs 49% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 49% to break even | 0%–73% | 49 points shortwon 0%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 31 of 8238%needs 49% to break even | 30%–47% | 11 points shortwon 38%, needs 49% |
| Every game |
Tonight HOU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + ast in each game against under 27.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 24.5 pts + astKevin Durant |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 assistsKevin Durant · Today 9:40 PM ET |
| 29%–46% |
| 11 points shortwon 37%, needs 49% |
| Date | Opponent | Pts + ast | Beat 27.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 33 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 21 | 27 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 40 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 34 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 27 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 39 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 31 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 28 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 35 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 26 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 35 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 38 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 45 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 30 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 31 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 22 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 20 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 37 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 16 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 31 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 27 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 25 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 26 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 31 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 40 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 43 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 26 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 30 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 33 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 39 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | STARS | 0 | +27.5 | Won |
| Feb 15 | WORLD | 8 | +19.5 | Won |
| Feb 15 | STARS | 6 | +21.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 | 27 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | 29 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 24 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 32 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 16 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 21 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 35 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 30 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 35 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 35 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 39 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 25 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 26 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 46 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 22 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 32 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 29 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 34 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 37 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 30 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 41 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 33 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 35 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 37 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 33 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 23 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 32 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 36 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 34 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 32 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 19 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 30 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 36 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 32 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 37 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 29 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 15 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 23 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 41 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 33 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 27 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 38 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 26 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 16 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 26 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 27 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 32 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 22 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 38 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 26 | +1.5 | Won | |
| -200at BetRivers |
| 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 67% to break even |
| 9.3Strong |
| Over 26.5 pts + astKevin Durant · Today 9:40 PM ET | -165at Bovada | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 62% to break even | 4.4Good |
| Over 27.5 pts + astKevin Durant · Today 9:40 PM ET | -113at BetRivers | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 53% to break even | -5.1Not beating its price |
| Over 28.5 pts + astKevin Durant · Today 9:40 PM ET | -108at DraftKings | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 52% to break even | -8.7Not beating its price |
| Over 29.5 pts + astKevin Durant · Today 9:40 PM ET | +130at BetRivers | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 43% to break even | -1.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +180at BetRivers |
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 36% to break even |
| 4.0Good |
| Over 22.5 pointsKevin Durant · Today 9:40 PM ET | -150at Fanatics | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 60% to break even | 0.9Slight |
| Over 9.5 reb + astKevin Durant · Today 9:40 PM ET | +112at BetRivers | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 47% to break even | 0.7Slight |
| Over 8.5 reb + astKevin Durant · Today 9:40 PM ET | -165at Bovada | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 62% to break even | -0.3Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 pointsKevin Durant · Today 9:40 PM ET | -175at BetRivers | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 64% to break even | -2.0Not beating its price |
| Over 32.5 pts + reb + astKevin Durant · Today 9:40 PM ET | -145at Bovada | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 59% to break even | -2.7Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 assistsKevin Durant · Today 9:40 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 54% to break even | -3.2Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 pointsKevin Durant · Today 9:40 PM ET | -117at BetRivers | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 54% to break even | -3.4Not beating its price |
| Over 31.5 pts + reb + astKevin Durant · Today 9:40 PM ET | -170at Bovada | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 63% to break even | -4.6Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pointsKevin Durant · Today 9:40 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 47% to break even | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 pts + reb + astKevin Durant · Today 9:40 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 47 of 82· last season57%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.3Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 reb + astKevin Durant · Today 9:40 PM ET | +157at BetOnline | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 39% to break even | -5.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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