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NBAGame line4th quarter spread
NY 4Q -0.5 (4th quarter spread)
Won64 of 102last season · 63%
Best price+101Kalshi
Price needs49.8%wins to break even
Every game65 of 103this season and last
Trend score-0.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 50% to break even | 27%–86% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 50% to break even | 54%–93% | 30 points betterwon 80%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 50% to break even | 52%–87% | 24 points betterwon 73%, needs 50% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 50% to break even | 27%–100% | 50 points betterwon 100%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 64 of 10263%needs 50% to break even | 55%–70% | 13 points betterwon 63%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 65 of 10363%needs 50% to break even | 55%–70% | 13 points betterwon 63%, needs 50% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NY plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against BOS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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NY 4Q -0.5 (4th quarter spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
4Q margin in each game against ny 4q -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 4Q margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 |  PHI | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jun 13 |  SA | 11 | +10.5 | Won |
| Jun 10 | SA | 16 | +15.5 | Won |
| Jun 8 | SA | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jun 5 | SA | -8 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Jun 3 | SA | 10 | +9.5 | Won |
| May 25 |  CLE | 10 | +9.5 | Won |
| May 23 | CLE | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| May 21 | CLE | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 19 | CLE | 14 | +13.5 | Won |
| May 10 | PHI | -9 | -9.5 | Lost |
| May 8 | PHI | 5 | +4.5 | Won |
| May 6 | PHI | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| May 4 | PHI | 8 | +7.5 | Won |
| Apr 30 |  ATL | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 28 | ATL | 11 | +10.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 | ATL | -5 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Apr 23 | ATL | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Apr 20 | ATL | -13 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 | ATL | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 |  CHA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 |  TOR | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 9 |  BOS | 8 | +7.5 | Won |
| Apr 6 | ATL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 3 |  CHI | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 |  MEM | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 31 |  HOU | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 29 |  OKC | -5 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 26 | CHA | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 24 |  NO | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 22 |  WSH | 8 | +7.5 | Won |
| Mar 20 |  BKN | -9 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Mar 17 |  IND | 12 | +11.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 |  GS | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 13 | IND | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 11 |  UTAH | 15 | +14.5 | Won |
| Mar 9 |  LAC | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 |  LAL | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 6 |  DEN | 14 | +13.5 | Won |
| Mar 4 | OKC | -6 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | TOR | 11 | +10.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | SA | 14 | +13.5 | Won |
| Feb 27 |  MIL | 9 | +8.5 | Won |
| Feb 24 | CLE | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 22 | CHI | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 | HOU | 18 | +17.5 | Won |
| Feb 19 |  DET | -4 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | PHI | 16 | +15.5 | Won |
| Feb 10 | IND | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 8 | BOS | 5 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 6 | DET | -8 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Feb 4 | DEN | -6 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Feb 3 | WSH | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 1 | LAL | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 30 |  POR | 12 | +11.5 | Won |
| Jan 28 | TOR | 15 | +14.5 | Won |
| Jan 27 |  SAC | 16 | +15.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 | PHI | -10 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Jan 21 | BKN | 22 | +21.5 | Won |
| Jan 19 |  DAL | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 |  PHX | -4 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | GS | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 14 | SAC | 9 | +8.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 | POR | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 9 | PHX | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 | LAC | 9 | +8.5 | Won |
| Jan 5 | DET | -11 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 | PHI | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 2 | ATL | 12 | +11.5 | Won |
| Dec 31 | SA | -11 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 | NO | 12 | +11.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | ATL | -6 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 25 | CLE | 14 | +13.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 |  MIN | -5 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 |  MIA | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 19 | PHI | -8 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | IND | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 16 | SA | 16 | +15.5 | Won |
| Dec 13 |  ORL | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 9 | TOR | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | ORL | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | UTAH | -4 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 | CHA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 2 | BOS | 12 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | TOR | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | MIL | 5 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 26 | CHA | 5 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 | BKN | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | ORL | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 19 | DAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 17 | MIA | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | MIA | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | ORL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 11 | MEM | -8 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | BKN | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | MIN | 15 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | WSH | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | CHI | -4 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 31 | CHI | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 28 | MIL | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | MIA | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | BOS | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | CLE | 8 | +7.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on New York Knicks in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.