This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 64% to break even | 65%–100% | 36 points betterwon 100%, needs 64% |
| Last 10 games | 10 of 10100%needs 64% to break even | 79%–100% | 36 points betterwon 100%, needs 64% |
| Last 15 games | 15 of 15100%needs 64% to break even | 85%–100% | 36 points betterwon 100%, needs 64% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 64% to break even | 27%–100% | 36 points betterwon 100%, needs 64% |
| Last season | 79 of 10277%needs 64% to break even | 70%–83% | 13 points betterwon 77%, needs 64% |
| Every game | 80 of 10378%needs 64% to break even | 70%–84% | 13 points betterwon 78%, needs 64% |
Tonight NY plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against BOS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ny +6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | -6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jun 13 | 4 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jun 10 | 1 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jun 8 | -4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jun 5 | 1 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jun 3 | 10 | +16.5 | Won | |
| May 25 | 37 | +43.5 | Won | |
| May 23 | 13 | +19.5 | Won | |
| May 21 | 16 | +22.5 | Won | |
| May 19 | 11 | +17.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 30 | +36.5 | Won | |
| May 8 | 14 | +20.5 | Won | |
| May 6 | 6 | +12.5 | Won | |
| May 4 | 39 | +45.5 | Won | |
| Apr 30 | 51 | +57.5 | Won | |
| Apr 28 | 29 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 16 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Apr 23 | -1 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 20 | -1 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 11 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | -14 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 17 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 6 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 3 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 40 | +46.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 11 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | -17 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | -11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | -11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 5 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 32 | +38.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 1 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 26 | +32.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 3 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 9 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 17 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | -8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | -13 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 39 | +45.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | -3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 16 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 25 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 29 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | -15 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 6 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 2 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | -15 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 49 | +55.5 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | -3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 22 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | -38 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 7 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 31 | +37.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 12 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 30 | +36.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 27 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 16 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 3 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 54 | +60.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | -17 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | -7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | -13 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | -11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 9 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | -5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 12 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | -31 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | -11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | -12 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | -2 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 5 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 3 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 2 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | -11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 7 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | -9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 1 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 16 | 11 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 12 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Dec 9 | 16 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 6 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 34 | +40.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 15 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | -6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 22 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 9 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 28 | +34.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 13 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | -12 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 2 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | -2 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 8 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | -17 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 13 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 36 | +42.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 23 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 17 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 12 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | -10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | -10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | -8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 10 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 8 | +14.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.