This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 46% to break even | 27%–86% | 14 points betterwon 60%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 46% to break even | 54%–93% | 34 points betterwon 80%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 46% to break even | 67%–95% | 41 points betterwon 87%, needs 46% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 46% to break even | 0%–73% | 46 points shortwon 0%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 70 of 10269%needs 46% to break even | 61%–76% | 23 points betterwon 69%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 70 of 10368%needs 46% to break even | 60%–75% | 22 points betterwon 68%, needs 46% |
Tonight NY plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against BOS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ny to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | -6 | -6 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jun 13 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Jun 10 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jun 8 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Jun 5 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jun 3 | 10 | +10 | Won | |
| May 25 | 37 | +37 | Won | |
| May 23 | 13 | +13 | Won | |
| May 21 | 16 | +16 | Won | |
| May 19 | 11 | +11 | Won | |
| May 10 | 30 | +30 | Won | |
| May 8 | 14 | +14 | Won | |
| May 6 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| May 4 | 39 | +39 | Won | |
| Apr 30 | 51 | +51 | Won | |
| Apr 28 | 29 | +29 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 16 | +16 | Won | |
| Apr 23 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 20 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 11 | +11 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | -14 | -14 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 17 | +17 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 40 | +40 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 11 | +11 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | -17 | -17 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | -11 | -11 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | -11 | -11 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 32 | +32 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 26 | +26 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 9 | +9 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 17 | +17 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | -13 | -13 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 39 | +39 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 16 | +16 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 25 | +25 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 29 | +29 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | -15 | -15 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | -15 | -15 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 49 | +49 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 22 | +22 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | -38 | -38 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 31 | +31 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 12 | +12 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 30 | +30 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 27 | +27 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 16 | +16 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 54 | +54 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | -17 | -17 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | -13 | -13 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | -11 | -11 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 9 | +9 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 12 | +12 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | -31 | -31 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | -11 | -11 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | -12 | -12 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | -11 | -11 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | -9 | -9 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 16 | 11 | +11 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 12 | +12 | Won | |
| Dec 9 | 16 | +16 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 34 | +34 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 15 | +15 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | -6 | -6 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 22 | +22 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 9 | +9 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 28 | +28 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 13 | +13 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | -12 | -12 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 8 | +8 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | -17 | -17 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 13 | +13 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 36 | +36 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 23 | +23 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 17 | +17 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 12 | +12 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 10 | +10 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 8 | +8 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.