This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 46% to break even | 5%–56% | 26 points shortwon 20%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 46% to break even | 19%–65% | 6 points shortwon 40%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 46% to break even | 28%–67% | 1 points betterwon 47%, needs 46% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 46% to break even | 27%–100% | 54 points betterwon 100%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 40 of 10239%needs 46% to break even | 32%–47% | 6 points shortwon 39%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 41 of 10340%needs 46% to break even | 32%–48% | 6 points shortwon 40%, needs 46% |
Tonight NY plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against BOS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1Q margin in each game against ny 1q -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jun 13 | -10 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 10 | -19 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 8 | -11 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 5 | -9 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 3 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| May 25 | 12 | +10.5 | Won | |
| May 23 | 10 | +8.5 | Won | |
| May 21 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 19 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 19 | +17.5 | Won | |
| May 8 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| May 6 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 30 | 25 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Apr 28 | 13 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 23 | -12 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 20 | 9 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | -10 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 22 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 18 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | -16 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 14 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | -14 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | -15 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | -9 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 13 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 11 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | -11 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 16 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | -6 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 15 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | -10 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 10 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 18 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | -9 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | -15 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 9 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | -15 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | -7 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | -11 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 28 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 15 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 11 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 19 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | -7 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 12 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 18 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 10 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 10 | +8.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.