This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 59% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 59% to break even | 27%–86% | 1 points betterwon 60%, needs 59% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 59% to break even | 19%–65% | 19 points shortwon 40%, needs 59% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 59% to break even | 33%–72% | 5 points shortwon 53%, needs 59% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 59% to break even | 0%–73% | 59 points shortwon 0%, needs 59% |
| Last season | 11 of 2250%needs 59% to break even | 33%–67% | 9 points shortwon 50%, needs 59% |
| Every game |
Tonight BOS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Threes in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 0 | -2.5 | ||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 threesJayson Tatum · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 reboundsJayson Tatum · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET |
| 32%–64% |
| 11 points shortwon 48%, needs 59% |
| Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 30 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 26 | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 24 | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 29 | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 27 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 20 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 18 | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 6 | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| +119at Kalshi |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 46% to break even |
| -13.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +140at Kalshi |
| 14 of 22· last season64%needs 42% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -3.7Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 pointsJayson Tatum · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 16 of 22· last season73%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.5Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 assistsJayson Tatum · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 35% to break even | -12.1Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 assistsJayson Tatum · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 64% to break even | -17.8Not beating its price |
| Over 39.5 pts + reb + astJayson Tatum · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 57% to break even | -18.6Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 assistsJayson Tatum · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 10 of 22· last season45%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.4Not beating its price |
| Under 39.5 pts + reb + astJayson Tatum · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 11 of 22· last season50%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.6Not beating its price |
| Over 29.5 pointsJayson Tatum · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 35% to break even | -25.5Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pointsJayson Tatum · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 60% to break even | -35.6Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 reboundsJayson Tatum · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 66% to break even | -36.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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