This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 59% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 59% to break even | 14%–73% | 19 points shortwon 40%, needs 59% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 59% to break even | 13%–56% | 29 points shortwon 30%, needs 59% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 59% to break even | 22%–61% | 19 points shortwon 40%, needs 59% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 59% to break even | 0%–73% | 59 points shortwon 0%, needs 59% |
| Last season | 6 of 2227%needs 59% to break even | 15%–45% | 31 points shortwon 27%, needs 59% |
| Every game |
Tonight BOS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against over 24.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 24.5 pointsJayson Tatum · Today 7:10 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 reboundsJayson Tatum · Today 7:10 PM ET |
| 14%–43% |
| 33 points shortwon 26%, needs 59% |
| 13 |
| -11.5 |
| Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 30 | 17 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 24 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 26 | 30 | +5.5 | Won |
| Apr 24 | 25 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 21 | 19 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | 25 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 9 | 24 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 | 23 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 | 23 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 | 23 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 1 | 25 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 29 | 32 | +7.5 | Won |
| Mar 27 | 26 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 | 19 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 22 | 16 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Mar 20 | 13 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Mar 18 | 24 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 16 | 21 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 | 20 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 | 24 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 | 20 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 6 | 15 | -9.5 | Lost |
| +119at Kalshi |
| 16 of 22· last season73%needs 46% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -2.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +140at Kalshi |
| 14 of 22· last season64%needs 42% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -3.7Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 assistsJayson Tatum · Today 7:10 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 37% to break even | -13.8Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 threesJayson Tatum · Today 7:10 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 46% to break even | -13.8Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 assistsJayson Tatum · Today 7:10 PM ET | -172at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 63% to break even | -17.5Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 assistsJayson Tatum · Today 7:10 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 10 of 22· last season45%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.5Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 threesJayson Tatum · Today 7:10 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 11 of 22· last season50%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.0Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 reboundsJayson Tatum · Today 7:10 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 65% to break even | -36.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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