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NBAPlayer propRebounds
Jayson Tatum under 7.5 rebounds
Won3 of 5last 5 games · 60%
Best price+134Kalshi
Price needs42.7%wins to break even
Every game8 of 23this season and last
Trend score-18.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 43% to break even | 27%–86% | 17 points betterwon 60%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 43% to break even | 19%–65% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 43% to break even | 17%–54% | 9 points shortwon 33%, needs 43% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 43% to break even | 27%–100% | 57 points betterwon 100%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 7 of 2232%needs 43% to break even | 18%–49% | 11 points shortwon 32%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 8 of 2335%needs 43% to break even | 21%–52% | 8 points shortwon 35%, needs 43% |
Games like tonight
Tonight BOS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Jayson Tatum under 7.5 rebounds1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rebounds in each game against under 7.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rebounds | Beat 7.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 |  DET | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 30 |  PHI | 11 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 28 | PHI | 16 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Apr 26 | PHI | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 24 | PHI | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 21 | PHI | 14 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | PHI | 11 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 9 |  NY | 13 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 |  CHA | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 |  TOR | 13 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 |  MIL | 11 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 1 |  MIA | 18 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Mar 29 | CHA | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 27 |  ATL | 12 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 |  OKC | 12 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 22 |  MIN | 11 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 20 |  MEM | 9 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 18 |  GS | 10 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 16 |  PHX | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  WSH | 14 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 |  SA | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 |  CLE | 3 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 6 |  DAL | 12 | -4.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 reboundsJayson Tatum · Today 7:10 PM ET |  -191at Kalshi | 15 of 22· last season68%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 9.5 reboundsJayson Tatum · Today 7:10 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 14 of 22· last season64%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Jayson Tatum in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 threesJayson Tatum · Today 7:10 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 47% to break even | -14.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 5.5 assistsJayson Tatum · Today 7:10 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 65% to break even | -18.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 5.5 assistsJayson Tatum · Today 7:10 PM ET |  +143at Polymarket | 10 of 22· last season45%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 29.5 pointsJayson Tatum · Today 7:10 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 36% to break even | -26.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 2.5 threesJayson Tatum · Today 7:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 11 of 22· last season50%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.