This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 48% to break even | 44%–95% | 32 points betterwon 80%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 48% to break even | 35%–81% | 12 points betterwon 60%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 48% to break even | 28%–67% | 2 points shortwon 47%, needs 48% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 48% to break even | 27%–100% | 52 points betterwon 100%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 42 of 8251%needs 48% to break even | 42%–60% | 3 points betterwon 51%, needs 48% |
| Every game | 43 of 8352%needs 48% to break even | 43%–61% | 3 points betterwon 52%, needs 48% |
Tonight CHI plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 236.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 232.5 game total, CHI gamesChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 114.5 team totalChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton |
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 236.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 227 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 277 | -40.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 230 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 227 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 227 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 230 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 232 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 271 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 243 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 249 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 244 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 294 | -57.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 256 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 225 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 248 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 239 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 227 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 272 | -35.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 254 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 236 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 208 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 224 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 217 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 233 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 230 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 204 | +32.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 236 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 211 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 229 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 238 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 256 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 230 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 246 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 225 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 243 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 229 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 223 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 247 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 225 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 235 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 248 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 226 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 221 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 254 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 232 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 232 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 201 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 216 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 211 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 235 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 252 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 237 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 215 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 211 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 249 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 302 | -65.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 261 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 17 | 238 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 218 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 255 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 214 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 225 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 216 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 245 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 204 | +32.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 239 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 273 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 241 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 250 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 243 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 257 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 297 | -60.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 237 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 238 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 250 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 236 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 224 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 244 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 260 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 239 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 251 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 208 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 226 | +10.5 | Won | |
| 46 of 82· last season56%needs 66% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -36.1Not beating its price |
| Over 233.5 game total, CHI gamesChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -164at Polymarket | 45 of 82· last season55%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.0Not beating its price |
| Over 234.5 game total, CHI gamesChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -154at Kalshi | 45 of 82· last season55%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.6Not beating its price |
| Over 235.5 game total, CHI gamesChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -134at Polymarket | 43 of 82· last season52%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.0Not beating its price |
| Over 236.5 game total, CHI gamesChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -123at Polymarket | 40 of 82· last season49%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.8Not beating its price |
| Over 237.5 game total, CHI gamesChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -114at Polymarket | 38 of 82· last season46%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.5Not beating its price |
| Over 238.5 game total, CHI gamesChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -101at Polymarket | 35 of 82· last season43%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.4Not beating its price |
| Over 240.5 game total, CHI gamesChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +119at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 46% to break even | -20.9Not beating its price |
| Over 241.5 game total, CHI gamesChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +126at Polymarket | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 44% to break even | -19.8Not beating its price |
| Over 242.5 game total, CHI gamesChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +134at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 43% to break even | -18.4Not beating its price |
| Over 243.5 game total, CHI gamesChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +143at Polymarket | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 41% to break even | -21.0Not beating its price |
| Over 244.5 game total, CHI gamesChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +159at Kalshi | 26 of 82· last season32%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.6Not beating its price |
| Over 246.5 game total, CHI gamesChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +212at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 32% to break even | -14.9Not beating its price |
| Over 247.5 game total, CHI gamesChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +190at Bovada | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 34% to break even | -17.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 40 of 82· last season49%needs 38% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -7.5Not beating its price |
| Under 116.5 team totalChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +124at Kalshi | 45 of 82· last season55%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price |
| Over 124.5 team totalChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +198at Kalshi | 24 of 82· last season29%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.1Not beating its price |
| Under 120.5 team totalChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -142at Kalshi | 52 of 82· last season63%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.1Not beating its price |
| Over 122.5 team totalChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +152at Kalshi | 26 of 82· last season32%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.2Not beating its price |
| Under 118.5 team totalChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -107at Kalshi | 47 of 82· last season57%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.0Not beating its price |
| CHI -6.5 spreadChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +202at Polymarket | 17 of 82· last season21%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.5Not beating its price |
| CHI +3.5 1st quarter spreadChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -161at Kalshi | 50 of 82· last season61%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.1Not beating its price |
| Over 118.5 team totalChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -116at Kalshi | 35 of 82· last season43%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.4Not beating its price |
| Over 120.5 team totalChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +114at Kalshi | 30 of 82· last season37%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.8Not beating its price |
| Under 122.5 team totalChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -199at Kalshi | 56 of 82· last season68%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.4Not beating its price |
| CHI -5.5 spreadChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +173at Kalshi | 18 of 82· last season22%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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