+8.5 spread: that team can lose by up to 8 and the bet still winsO 47.5 total: wins if the two teams score 48 or more combined−110 bet $110 to win $100+150 bet $100 to win $150The badge is the book with that price (tap a price to see every book's); green pays more than the bet's chances call forBet types explained →
Outlined is the best price on each side; green pays more than the chances call for. A small negative edge is normal. Tap a price to bet it. What the numbers mean
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On Polymarket and Kalshi a contract pays $1 if it comes true, so its price is the crowd's chance. Charts follow the home team.
Big single bets on Polymarket and Kalshi, and how much money is on this game. What bettors did, not a reason to follow them.
"To win" chances average the sportsbooks (with their cut taken out), Polymarket and Kalshi. How it works
| -104 |
| -112 |
| -120 |
| -102 |
| -110 |
| -110 |
| FLFliff | -110 | -115 | -120 | -105 | -110 | -115 |
| Hard Rock | -110 | -110 | -115 | -105 | -110 | -110 |
| Kalshi | -107 | -112 | -116 | -103 | -103 | -116 |
| NVNovig | +100 | -106 | -111 | +104 | -102 | -106 |
| Polymarket | -101 | -114 | -114 | -101 | -101 | -114 |
| RBReBet | -109 | -117 | -125 | -105 | -114 | -114 |
| tStheScore Bet | -110 | -110 | -120 | +100 | -115 | -105 |
| Bally Bet | +100 | -121 | – | – | -108 | -113 |
| PRXbetPARX | +100 | -121 | – | – | -108 | -113 |
| BetRivers | +100 | -121 | – | – | -108 | -113 |
| Bovada | -105 | -115 | – | – | -110 | -110 |
| Caesars | -110 | -110 | – | – | -110 | -110 |
| DraftKings | -110 | -110 | -118 | -102 | – | – |
| Fanatics | -110 | -110 | – | – | -110 | -110 |
| PINPinnacle | -104 | -110 | – | – | -106 | -108 |
Vig at the best pricesspread 1.6% · total 1.4% · to win 1.4%Cheapest books →
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Bets in this game that have kept winning, more often than their price needs. A trend ignores the opponent, and some are luck.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 116.5 team totalMilwaukee BucksCHI without Claxton | +134at Kalshi | 61 of 82· last season74%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | 10.2Strong | |
| Under 234.5 game total, MIL gamesMilwaukee BucksCHI without Claxton | +124at Kalshi | 57 of 82· last season70%needs 45% to break even |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 230.5 game total, CHI gamesChicago BullsCHI without Claxton |
| 0.1Slight |
| +181at Kalshi |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 36% to break even |
| -5.6Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 threesRyan Rollins · MIL | +146at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 41% to break even | -7.4Not beating its price |
| Under 114.5 team totalChicago BullsCHI without Claxton | +166at Kalshi | 40 of 82· last season49%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.5Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 pointsJalen Smith · CHIClaxton out: next up at C | -183at Kalshi | 46 of 53· last season87%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 threesMyles Turner · MIL | -103at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 51% to break even | -13.8Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 pointsRyan Rollins · MIL | +134at Kalshi | 29 of 74· last season39%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 threesJalen Smith · CHIClaxton out: next up at C | +109at Kalshi | 28 of 53· last season53%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.1Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 assistsRyan Rollins · MIL | +134at Kalshi | 34 of 74· last season46%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.1Not beating its price |
| Over 124.5 team totalChicago BullsCHI without Claxton | +208at Kalshi | 24 of 82· last season29%needs 32% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.1Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 pointsJaime Jaquez Jr. · MIL | -142at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 59% to break even | -15.8Not beating its price |
| Over 246.5 game total, CHI gamesChicago BullsCHI without Claxton | +198at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 34% to break even | -16.3Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 threesMatas Buzelis · CHIWithout Claxton | +134at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 43% to break even | -16.3Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 pointsMyles Turner · MIL | +129at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 44% to break even | -18.9Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 reboundsTyler Herro · MIL | +114at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 47% to break even | -19.1Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 threesTyler Herro · MIL | -199at Kalshi | 24 of 34· last season71%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.1Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 pointsKyle Kuzma · MIL | +119at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 46% to break even | -20.0Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 threesKyle Kuzma · MIL | +173at Kalshi | 21 of 69· last season30%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.3Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 assistsTyler Herro · MIL | +109at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 48% to break even | -20.5Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 assistsTyler Herro · MIL | -148at Kalshi | 25 of 34· last season74%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.6Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 reboundsJaime Jaquez Jr. · MIL | -131at Kalshi | 46 of 76· last season61%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Who's hurt, the weather, rest and recent form. Injuries can change up to game time.
| Josh Giddeystarting PG | G | Day-To-Day | Wrist · back ~Oct 23 |
| Dailyn Swain | G | Day-To-Day | Illness · back ~Oct 23 |
| Jordan Hawkins | G | Day-To-Day | Illness · back ~Oct 23 |
| Zach Collins | F | Day-To-Day | Quadriceps · back ~Oct 23 |
| Tobe Awaka | F | Day-To-Day | Knee · back ~Oct 23 |
No one on the injury report.
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Polymarket and Kalshi sell the spread and total at every number, not just the one most books use. Each row shows the chance that bet wins, from their prices, and the best price on each side at any book, sportsbooks' alternate lines and fees included.
| Bet | Chance | Best price | Other side, best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIL +4.5 | 64% chance | -199 | CHI -4.5+152 |
| MIL +3.5 | 61% chance | -164 | CHI -3.5+143 |
| MIL +2.5 | 58% chance | -154 | CHI -2.5+124 |
| MIL +1.5 | 54% chance | -129 | CHI -1.5+107 |
| MIL -1.5Most books' number | 49% chance | NV+104 | CHI +1.5NV-111 |
| MIL -2.5 | 45% chance | +109 | CHI +2.5-137 |
| MIL -3.5 | 42% chance | +131 | CHI +3.5-154 |
| MIL -4.5 | 39% chance | +143 | CHI +4.5-172 |
| MIL -5.5 | 36% chance | +152 | CHI +5.5-208 |
| 55% chance |
| -134 |
| Under 235.5+112 |
| Over 236.5 | 54% chance | -123 | Under 236.5+107 |
| Over 237.5 | 53% chance | -119 | Under 237.5+103 |
| Over 238.5Most books' number | 49% chance | -101$290 available at this price | Under 238.5tS-105 |
| Over 240.5 | 44% chance | +121 | Under 240.5-139 |
| Over 241.5 | 42% chance | +126 | Under 241.5-151 |
| Over 242.5 | 40% chance | +134 | Under 242.5-175 |