This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 50% to break even | 5%–56% | 30 points shortwon 20%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 50% to break even | 19%–65% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 50% to break even | 33%–72% | 3 points betterwon 53%, needs 50% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 50% to break even | 0%–73% | 50 points shortwon 0%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 35 of 8243%needs 50% to break even | 34%–52% | 8 points shortwon 43%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 35 of 8342%needs 50% to break even | 34%–51% | 8 points shortwon 42%, needs 50% |
Tonight CHI plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 238.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 238.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 227 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 277 | +38.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 230 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 227 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 227 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 230 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 232 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 271 | +32.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 243 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 249 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 244 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 294 | +55.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 256 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 225 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 248 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 239 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 227 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 272 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 254 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 236 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 208 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 224 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 217 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 233 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 230 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 204 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 236 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 211 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 229 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 238 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 256 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 230 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 246 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 225 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 243 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 229 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 223 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 247 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 225 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 235 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 248 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 226 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 221 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 254 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 232 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 232 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 201 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 216 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 211 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 235 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 252 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 237 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 215 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 211 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 249 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 302 | +63.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 261 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Dec 17 | 238 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 218 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 255 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 214 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 225 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 216 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 245 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 204 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 239 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 273 | +34.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 241 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 250 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 243 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 257 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 297 | +58.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 237 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 238 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 250 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 236 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 224 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 244 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 260 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 239 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 251 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 208 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 226 | -12.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 114.5 team totalChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +166at Kalshi | 40 of 82· last season49%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 112.5 team totalChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +198at Kalshi | 33 of 82· last season40%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 116.5 team totalChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +124at Kalshi | 45 of 82· last season55%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 124.5 team totalChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +198at Kalshi | 24 of 82· last season29%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 120.5 team totalChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -142at Kalshi | 52 of 82· last season63%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 122.5 team totalChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +152at Kalshi | 26 of 82· last season32%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 118.5 team totalChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -107at Kalshi | 47 of 82· last season57%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.0Not beating its price | |
| CHI -6.5 spreadChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +202at Polymarket | 17 of 82· last season21%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 122.5 team totalChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -183at Kalshi | 56 of 82· last season68%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.6Not beating its price | |
| CHI +3.5 1st quarter spreadChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -161at Kalshi | 50 of 82· last season61%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 118.5 team totalChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -116at Kalshi | 35 of 82· last season43%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 120.5 team totalChicago Bulls · Tomorrow 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +114at Kalshi | 30 of 82· last season37%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.