This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 52% to break even | 27%–86% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 52% to break even | 35%–81% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 52% to break even | 46%–83% | 14 points betterwon 67%, needs 52% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 52% to break even | 0%–73% | 52 points shortwon 0%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 43 of 7756%needs 52% to break even | 46%–65% | 3 points betterwon 56%, needs 52% |
Tonight CHI plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Reb + ast in each game against over 7.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 reboundsMatas Buzelis · |
| Every game | 43 of 7855%needs 52% to break even | 46%–64% | 3 points betterwon 55%, needs 52% |
| Date | Opponent | Reb + ast | Beat 7.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 10 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 15 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 13 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 10 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 13 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 12 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 10 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 12 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 12 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 13 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 13 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 10 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 16 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 2 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 17 | 2 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 1 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 14 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 10 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 13 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 16 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 1 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| +100at DraftKings |
| 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 50% to break even |
| 7.4Good |
| Over 4.5 reboundsMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | -186at DraftKings | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 65% to break even | 2.5Slight |
| Yes double-doubleMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | +970at DraftKings | 2 of 15· last 15 games13%needs 9% to break even | -6.4Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 reboundsMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | +182at DraftKings | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 35% to break even | -8.7Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 pts + rebMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | -130at Bovada | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 57% to break even | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Under 18.5 pointsMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | -180at Bovada | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 64% to break even | -11.8Not beating its price |
| Over 22.5 pts + rebMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | -103at BetRivers | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 51% to break even | -12.6Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 threesMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | +155at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 39% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pts + rebMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | +155at BetMGM | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 39% to break even | -13.2Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 pointsMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | -228at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 70% to break even | -13.9Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 pts + rebMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | -165at Bovada | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 62% to break even | -14.3Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 threesMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | +166at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 38% to break even | -14.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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