This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 64% to break even | 65%–100% | 36 points betterwon 100%, needs 64% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 64% to break even | 54%–93% | 16 points betterwon 80%, needs 64% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 64% to break even | 39%–78% | 4 points shortwon 60%, needs 64% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 64% to break even | 27%–100% | 36 points betterwon 100%, needs 64% |
| Last season | 49 of 7764%needs 64% to break even | 54%–72% | 1 points shortwon 64%, needs 64% |
| Every game |
Tonight CHI plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against under 18.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 13.5 pointsMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 reboundsMatas Buzelis · |
| 50 of 7864%needs 64% to break even |
| 55%–72% |
| evenwon 64%, needs 64% |
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 18.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 17 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 10 | 14 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 11 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 17 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 12 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 29 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 15 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 23 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 13 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 19 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 29 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 22 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 41 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 20 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 11 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 20 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 20 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 32 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 15 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 15 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 4 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 15 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 21 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 22 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 2 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 21 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 16 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 20 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 11 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 14 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 12 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 21 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 17 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 15 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 7 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 19 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 15 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 20 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 26 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 17 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 21 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 19 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 13 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 8 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 10 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 15 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 28 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 24 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 17 | 9 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 9 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 10 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 16 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 19 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 14 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 21 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 8 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 8 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 10 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 13 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 6 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 11 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 13 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 21 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 15 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 4 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 20 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 10 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 14 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 13 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 27 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 16 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 3 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 21 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| -220at BetRivers |
| 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 69% to break even |
| -18.9Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 pointsMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | -165at BetMGM | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 62% to break even | -20.6Not beating its price |
| Over 15.5 pointsMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | -125at BetMGM | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 56% to break even | -20.7Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 pointsMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | -105at Fanatics | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 51% to break even | -17.4Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 pointsMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | +120at Fanatics | 33 of 77· last season43%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.5Not beating its price |
| Over 18.5 pointsMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | +135at Bovada | 28 of 77· last season36%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.7Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 pointsMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | +200at BetMGM | 24 of 77· last season31%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.5Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 pointsMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | +215at Bovada | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 32% to break even | -19.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +100at DraftKings |
| 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 50% to break even |
| 7.4Good |
| Over 4.5 reboundsMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | -186at DraftKings | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 65% to break even | 2.5Slight |
| Yes double-doubleMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | +970at DraftKings | 2 of 15· last 15 games13%needs 9% to break even | -6.4Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 reboundsMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | +182at DraftKings | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 35% to break even | -8.7Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 reb + astMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | +265at FanDuel | 21 of 77· last season27%needs 27% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.9Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 pts + rebMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | -130at Bovada | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 57% to break even | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 reb + astMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | -110at DraftKings | 43 of 77· last season56%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.1Not beating its price |
| Over 22.5 pts + rebMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | -103at BetRivers | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 51% to break even | -12.6Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 threesMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | +155at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 39% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pts + rebMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | +155at BetMGM | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 39% to break even | -13.2Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 pts + rebMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | -165at Bovada | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 62% to break even | -14.3Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 threesMatas Buzelis · Today 4:10 PM ETWithout Claxton | +165at BetRivers | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 38% to break even | -14.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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