This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 58% to break even | 14%–73% | 18 points shortwon 40%, needs 58% | 5.6rebounds |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 58% to break even | 35%–81% | 2 points betterwon 60%, needs 58% | 5.2rebounds |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 58% to break even | 33%–72% | 4 points shortwon 53%, needs 58% | 5.5rebounds |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 58% to break even | 12%–88% | 8 points shortwon 50%, needs 58% | 4.5rebounds |
| Last season | 8 of 1457%needs 58% to break even | 36%–76% | 1 points shortwon 57%, needs 58% | 5.4rebounds |
| Every game | 9 of 1656%needs 58% to break even | 36%–74% | 2 points shortwon 56%, needs 58% | 5.3rebounds |
Tonight NO plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against DEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 9 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rebounds in each game against under 5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rebounds | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 2 | 8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 reboundsDejounte Murray · Today 9:10 PM ET | -145at Fanatics | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 59% to break even8 of 9 on the road | -15.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 5.5 reboundsDejounte Murray · Today 9:10 PM ET | +125at Fanatics | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 44% to break even6 of 9 on the road | -15.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 6.5 reboundsDejounte Murray · Today 9:10 PM ET | +222at DraftKings | 5 of 14· last season36%needs 31% to break even5 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -11.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.