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NBAPlayer propPoints
Bam Adebayo under 16.5 points
Won7 of 15last 15 games · 47%
Best price+103Polymarket
Price needs49.3%wins to break even
Every game26 of 76this season and last
Trend score-21.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 49% to break even | 27%–86% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% | 14points |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 49% to break even | 27%–73% | 1 points betterwon 50%, needs 49% | 16.7points |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 49% to break even | 28%–67% | 3 points shortwon 47%, needs 49% | 17.5points |
| This season | 2 of 2100%needs 49% to break even | 42%–100% | 51 points betterwon 100%, needs 49% | 9.5points |
| Last season | 24 of 7432%needs 49% to break even | 24%–42% | 17 points shortwon 32%, needs 49% | 19.9points |
| Every game | 26 of 7634%needs 49% to break even | 26%–44% | 15 points shortwon 34%, needs 49% | 19.6points |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIA plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against CHA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 15 of 39 on the road.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Bam Adebayo under 16.5 points8 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Points in each game against under 16.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 16.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 |  DET | 4 | +12.5 | Won |
| Oct 21 |  MIN | 15 | +1.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 14 |  CHA | 6 | +10.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 |  ATL | 25 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 |  WSH | 20 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 9 |  TOR | 24 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 | TOR | 7 | +9.5 | Won |
| Apr 4 | WSH | 14 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 |  BOS | 29 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 |  PHI | 23 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Mar 29 |  IND | 15 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 27 |  CLE | 14 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 | CLE | 17 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 23 |  SA | 18 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  HOU | 32 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Mar 19 |  LAL | 28 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 |  ORL | 20 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 12 |  MIL | 21 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 | WSH | 83 | -66.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 | DET | 24 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Mar 6 | CHA | 24 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Mar 5 |  BKN | 21 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | BKN | 23 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 | HOU | 24 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 | PHI | 29 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Feb 24 | MIL | 18 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 21 |  MEM | 13 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 20 | ATL | 17 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 |  NO | 27 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Feb 9 |  UTAH | 23 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Feb 8 | WSH | 22 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Feb 6 | BOS | 16 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 3 | ATL | 16 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 1 |  CHI | 20 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | CHI | 21 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 | CHI | 20 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 28 | ORL | 21 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 |  PHX | 22 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 | UTAH | 26 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Jan 22 |  POR | 32 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Jan 20 |  SAC | 25 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Jan 19 |  GS | 4 | +12.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 |  OKC | 30 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | BOS | 22 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 | PHX | 29 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 | OKC | 6 | +10.5 | Won |
| Jan 10 | IND | 13 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 6 | MIN | 7 | +9.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 | NO | 12 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | MIN | 12 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 1 | DET | 15 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 |  DEN | 13 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 | TOR | 9 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 |  NY | 14 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 19 | BOS | 16 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 | BKN | 8 | +8.5 | Won |
| Dec 15 | TOR | 20 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 9 | ORL | 19 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | SAC | 9 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 | ORL | 24 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 |  DAL | 21 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 1 |  LAC | 27 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | DET | 15 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 26 | MIL | 17 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 24 | DAL | 17 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | PHI | 18 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 21 | CHI | 18 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 19 | GS | 20 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 5 | DEN | 2 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | LAC | 25 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | LAL | 17 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 30 | SA | 31 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Oct 28 | CHA | 26 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | NY | 19 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | MEM | 24 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | ORL | 15 | +1.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 pointsBam Adebayo · Today 6:10 PM ET |  -189at BetOnline | 57 of 74· last season77%needs 65% to break even29 of 39 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 15.5 pointsBam Adebayo · Today 6:10 PM ET |  -130at BetRivers | 53 of 74· last season72%needs 57% to break even26 of 39 on the road | Record is last season's | -20.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 16.5 pointsBam Adebayo · Today 6:10 PM ET | -104at BetRivers | 50 of 74· last season68%needs 51% to break even24 of 39 on the road | Record is last season's | -16.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 17.5 pointsBam Adebayo · Today 6:10 PM ET | +123at BetRivers | 45 of 74· last season61%needs 45% to break even21 of 39 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 18.5 pointsBam Adebayo · Today 6:10 PM ET |  +130at Fanatics | 41 of 74· last season55%needs 43% to break even18 of 39 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 19.5 pointsBam Adebayo · Today 6:10 PM ET | +185at BetRivers | 39 of 74· last season53%needs 35% to break even17 of 39 on the road | Record is last season's | -7.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 20.5 pointsBam Adebayo · Today 6:10 PM ET | +210at Fanatics | 33 of 74· last season45%needs 32% to break even15 of 39 on the road | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 22.5 pointsBam Adebayo · Today 6:10 PM ET | +320at Fanatics | 25 of 74· last season34%needs 24% to break even12 of 39 on the road | Record is last season's | -5.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Bam Adebayo in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.