This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 54% to break even | 14%–73% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% | 25.2points, rebounds and assists |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 54% to break even | 35%–81% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% | 30.4points, rebounds and assists |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 54% to break even | 46%–83% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 54% | 32.2points, rebounds and assists |
| This season | 0 of 20%needs 54% to break even | 0%–58% | 54 points shortwon 0%, needs 54% | 19.5points, rebounds and assists |
| Last season | 49 of 7466%needs 54% to break even | 57%–75% | 12 points betterwon 66%, needs 54% | 33points, rebounds and assists |
| Every game | 49 of 7664%needs 54% to break even | 55%–73% | 10 points betterwon 64%, needs 54% | 32.6points, rebounds and assists |
Tonight MIA plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against CHA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 24 of 39 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + reb + ast in each game against over 29.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb + ast | Beat 29.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 13 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 26 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 14 | 10 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 38 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 39 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 43 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 19 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 30 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 41 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 45 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 30 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 33 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 34 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 25 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 57 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 40 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 28 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 31 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 95 | +65.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 39 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 40 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 30 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 36 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 36 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 46 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 29 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 24 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 30 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 45 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 39 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 33 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 24 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 31 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 32 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 33 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 34 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 40 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 30 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 43 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 44 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 37 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 19 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 46 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 31 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 42 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 24 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 24 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 21 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 24 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 25 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 29 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 27 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 24 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 23 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 30 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 26 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 32 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 9 | 29 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 19 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 42 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 29 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 44 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 26 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 30 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 24 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 32 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 30 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 30 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 3 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 39 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 30 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 44 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 34 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 35 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 33 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 29 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 29.5 pts + reb + astBam Adebayo · Today 6:10 PM ET | -115at BetRivers | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even15 of 39 on the road | -29.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 30.5 pts + reb + astBam Adebayo · Today 6:10 PM ET | -122at FanDuel | 35 of 74· last season47%needs 55% to break even21 of 39 on the road | Record is last season's | -23.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gets a triple-doubleBam Adebayo · Today 6:10 PM ET | +6000at FanDuel | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 2% to break even0 of 39 on the road | -1.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 24.5 pts + astBam Adebayo · Today 6:10 PM ET | +240at BetRivers | 29 of 74· last season39%needs 29% to break even14 of 39 on the road | Record is last season's | -4.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 22.5 pointsBam Adebayo · Today 6:10 PM ET | +320at Fanatics | 25 of 74· last season34%needs 24% to break even12 of 39 on the road | Record is last season's | -5.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 19.5 pointsBam Adebayo · Today 6:10 PM ET | +185at BetRivers | 39 of 74· last season53%needs 35% to break even17 of 39 on the road | Record is last season's | -7.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 29.5 pts + rebBam Adebayo · Today 6:10 PM ET | +165at BetMGM | 34 of 74· last season46%needs 38% to break even16 of 39 on the road | Record is last season's | -9.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 20.5 pointsBam Adebayo · Today 6:10 PM ET | +210at Fanatics | 33 of 74· last season45%needs 32% to break even15 of 39 on the road | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 17.5 pointsBam Adebayo · Today 6:10 PM ET | +123at BetRivers | 45 of 74· last season61%needs 45% to break even21 of 39 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 15.5 reb + astBam Adebayo · Today 6:10 PM ET | +192at BetOnline | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 34% to break even12 of 39 on the road | -14.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 18.5 pointsBam Adebayo · Today 6:10 PM ET | +130at Fanatics | 41 of 74· last season55%needs 43% to break even18 of 39 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.7Not beating its price | |
| Gets a double-doubleBam Adebayo · Today 6:10 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 47% to break even19 of 39 on the road | -14.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 9.5 reboundsBam Adebayo · Today 6:10 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 40 of 74· last season54%needs 48% to break even23 of 39 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 4.5 assistsBam Adebayo · Today 6:10 PM ET | +225at BetRivers | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 31% to break even7 of 39 on the road | -15.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.