This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 47% to break even | 14%–73% | 7 points shortwon 40%, needs 47% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 47% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points betterwon 50%, needs 47% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 47% to break even | 39%–78% | 13 points betterwon 60%, needs 47% |
| This season | 0 of 20%needs 47% to break even | 0%–58% | 47 points shortwon 0%, needs 47% |
| Last season | 35 of 7447%needs 47% to break even | 38%–57% | 1 points betterwon 47%, needs 47% |
| Every game | 35 of 7646%needs 47% to break even | 37%–55% | 1 points shortwon 46%, needs 47% |
Tonight MIA plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against CHA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 19 of 39 on the road.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Bam Adebayo game, newest first: whether Adebayo had a double-double.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 23 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| Apr 14 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | Double-double | Won | |
| Apr 10 | Double-double | Won | |
| Apr 9 | Double-double | Won | |
| Apr 7 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | Double-double | Won | |
| Mar 30 | Double-double | Won | |
| Mar 29 | Double-double | Won | |
| Mar 27 | Double-double | Won | |
| Mar 25 | Double-double | Won | |
| Mar 23 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | Double-double | Won | |
| Mar 19 | Double-double | Won | |
| Mar 14 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | Double-double | Won | |
| Mar 5 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | Double-double | Won | |
| Feb 26 | Double-double | Won | |
| Feb 24 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | Double-double | Won | |
| Feb 9 | Double-double | Won | |
| Feb 8 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | Double-double | Won | |
| Feb 1 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | Double-double | Won | |
| Jan 29 | Double-double | Won | |
| Jan 28 | Double-double | Won | |
| Jan 25 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | Double-double | Won | |
| Jan 22 | Double-double | Won | |
| Jan 20 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | Double-double | Won | |
| Jan 15 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | Double-double | Won | |
| Dec 29 | Double-double | Won | |
| Dec 23 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | Double-double | Won | |
| Dec 18 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | Double-double | Won | |
| Dec 9 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | Double-double | Won | |
| Dec 3 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | Double-double | Won | |
| Nov 29 | Double-double | Won | |
| Nov 26 | Double-double | Won | |
| Nov 24 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | Double-double | Won | |
| Nov 21 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | Double-double | Won | |
| Nov 2 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | Double-double | Won | |
| Oct 28 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | Double-double | Won | |
| Oct 24 | No double-double | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | Double-double | Won | |
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doesn't get a double-doubleBam Adebayo · Today 6:10 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 39 of 74· last season53%needs 60% to break even20 of 39 on the road | Record is last season's | -28.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.