This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 49% to break even | 14%–73% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% | 2.6total goals |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 49% to break even | 19%–65% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% | 2.5total goals |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 49% to break even | 22%–61% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% | 2.5total goals |
| This season | 11 of 3135%needs 49% to break even | 23%–50% | 13 points shortwon 35%, needs 49% | 2.6total goals |
| Last season | 17 of 3746% |
Tonight LAFC plays at home, as the favorite, against LA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 11 of 33 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, LAFC gamesLos Angeles FC · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, LAFC gamesLos Angeles FC · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET |
| 33%–59% |
| 3 points shortwon 46%, needs 49% |
| 3.2total goals |
| Every game | 28 of 6841%needs 49% to break even | 32%–51% | 8 points shortwon 41%, needs 49% | 2.9total goals |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 17 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 22 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 17 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 29 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 8 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 18 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 14 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 11 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 35% to break even17 of 33 at home |
| -1.0Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, LAFC gamesLos Angeles FC · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -125at Bally Bet | 20 of 31· this season65%needs 56% to break even22 of 33 at home | Record is this season's | -15.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 21% to break even5 of 33 at home |
| 3.6Good |
| Under 2.5 team totalLos Angeles FC · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 25 of 31· this season81%needs 63% to break even23 of 33 at home | Record is this season's | -2.8Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalLos Angeles FC · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 18 of 31· this season58%needs 37% to break even15 of 33 at home | Record is this season's | -3.9Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: No, LAFC gamesLos Angeles FC · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 16 of 31· this season52%needs 39% to break even20 of 33 at home | Record is this season's | -14.1Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: Yes, LAFC gamesLos Angeles FC · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 66% to break even13 of 33 at home | -23.6Not beating its price |
| LAFC -1.5 spreadLos Angeles FC · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 13 of 37· last season35%needs 43% to break even14 of 33 at home | Record is last season's | -26.7Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalLos Angeles FC · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 10 of 37· last season27%needs 44% to break even10 of 33 at home | Record is last season's | -32.2Not beating its price |
| LAFC -1 spreadLos Angeles FC · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | PIN-115at Pinnacle | 13 of 31· last season42%needs 53% to break even14 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -34.9Not beating its price |
| LAFC to win moneylineLos Angeles FC · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 19 of 37· last season51%needs 64% to break even21 of 33 at home | Record is last season's | -41.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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