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Won13 of 37last season · 35%
Best price+134Kalshi
Price needs42.7%wins to break even
Every game22 of 68this season and last
Trend score-26.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 43% to break even | 5%–56% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% | won by 0.2goals |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 43% to break even | 7%–46% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% | won by 0.1goals |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 43% to break even | 13%–48% | 16 points shortwon 27%, needs 43% | won by 0.3goals |
| This season | 9 of 3129%needs 43% to break even | 18%–44% | 14 points shortwon 29%, needs 43% | won by 0.5goals |
| Last season | 13 of 3735%needs 43% to break even | 24%–49% | 8 points shortwon 35%, needs 43% | won by 0.8goals |
| Every game | 22 of 6832%needs 43% to break even | 24%–42% | 10 points shortwon 32%, needs 43% | won by 0.6goals |
Games like tonight
Tonight LAFC plays at home, as the favorite, against LA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 14 of 33 at home.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
LAFC -1.5 (spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against LAFC -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  NYC | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 14 |  ATX | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  VAN | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  DAL | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  SJ | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  SKC | -2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 9 |  RBNY | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  RSL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 |  DC | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 22 |  POR | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 19 |  COL | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 15 |  SD | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 1 | VAN | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 25 | SKC | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jul 22 | RSL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jul 17 |  LA | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 24 |  SEA | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 17 |  NSH | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| May 13 |  STL | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| May 10 |  HOU | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| May 2 | SD | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 25 |  MIN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 22 | COL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | SJ | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Apr 11 | POR | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 4 |  ORL | 6 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 | ATX | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 | STL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 | DAL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 | HOU | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 |  MIA | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 22 | VAN | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | ATX | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | ATX | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | COL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 | ATX | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 8 |  TOR | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 |  ATL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | STL | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | RSL | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 17 | RSL | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | SJ | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 31 | SD | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | DAL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 16 |  NE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 9 |  CHI | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 25 | POR | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jul 19 | LA | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 16 | MIN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 12 | DAL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jul 9 | COL | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jun 29 | VAN | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jun 8 | SKC | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 24 |  MTL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 18 | LA | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 14 | SEA | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 11 | VAN | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 3 | HOU | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 27 | STL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | POR | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 | SJ | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 | HOU | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 29 | SD | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 22 | SKC | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 | ATX | -1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 | SEA | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 | NYC | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 | MIN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Los Angeles FC in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.