This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 64% to break even | 5%–56% | 44 points shortwon 20%, needs 64% | won by 0.2goals |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 64% to break even | 7%–46% | 44 points shortwon 20%, needs 64% | won by 0.1goals |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 64% to break even | 13%–48% | 37 points shortwon 27%, needs 64% | won by 0.3goals |
| This season | 12 of 3139%needs 64% to break even | 26%–53% | 25 points shortwon 39%, needs 64% | won by 0.5goals |
| Last season | 19 of 3751% |
Tonight LAFC plays at home, as the favorite, against LA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 21 of 33 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against LAFC to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, LAFC gamesLos Angeles FC · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET |
| 38%–64% |
| 12 points shortwon 51%, needs 64% |
| won by 0.8goals |
| Every game | 31 of 6846%needs 64% to break even | 36%–56% | 18 points shortwon 46%, needs 64% | won by 0.6goals |
| Margin |
|---|
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 17 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 17 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 9 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jun 29 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 8 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 21% to break even5 of 33 at home |
| 3.6Good |
| Under 2.5 game total, LAFC gamesLos Angeles FC · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 35% to break even17 of 33 at home | -1.0Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalLos Angeles FC · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 25 of 31· this season81%needs 63% to break even23 of 33 at home | Record is this season's | -2.8Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalLos Angeles FC · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 18 of 31· this season58%needs 37% to break even15 of 33 at home | Record is this season's | -3.9Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: No, LAFC gamesLos Angeles FC · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 16 of 31· this season52%needs 39% to break even20 of 33 at home | Record is this season's | -14.1Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, LAFC gamesLos Angeles FC · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -125at Bally Bet | 20 of 31· this season65%needs 56% to break even22 of 33 at home | Record is this season's | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: Yes, LAFC gamesLos Angeles FC · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 66% to break even13 of 33 at home | -23.6Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, LAFC gamesLos Angeles FC · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 17 of 37· last season46%needs 49% to break even11 of 33 at home | Record is last season's | -23.6Not beating its price |
| LAFC -1.5 spreadLos Angeles FC · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 13 of 37· last season35%needs 43% to break even14 of 33 at home | Record is last season's | -26.7Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalLos Angeles FC · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 10 of 37· last season27%needs 44% to break even10 of 33 at home | Record is last season's | -32.2Not beating its price |
| LAFC -1 spreadLos Angeles FC · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | PIN-115at Pinnacle | 13 of 31· last season42%needs 53% to break even14 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -34.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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