This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 70% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 70% to break even | 14%–73% | 30 points shortwon 40%, needs 70% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 70% to break even | 19%–65% | 30 points shortwon 40%, needs 70% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 70% to break even | 28%–67% | 23 points shortwon 47%, needs 70% |
| This season | 16 of 3053%needs 70% to break even | 39%–67% | 16 points shortwon 53%, needs 70% |
| Last season | 27 of 3479%needs 70% to break even | 66%–88% | 10 points betterwon 79%, needs 70% |
| Every game | 43 of 6467%needs 70% to break even | 57%–76% | 2 points shortwon 67%, needs 70% |
Tonight TOR plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against CLB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
TOR goals in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | TOR goals | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 26 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 31 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 team totalToronto FC · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -258at Polymarket | 25 of 30· this season83%needs 72% to break even | Record is this season's | -14.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 team totalToronto FC · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 35% to break even | -7.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.