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Won27 of 34last season · 79%
Best price-179Polymarket
Price needs64.2%wins to break even
Every game51 of 64this season and last
Trend score-9.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 64% to break even | 27%–86% | 4 points shortwon 60%, needs 64% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 64% to break even | 44%–87% | 6 points betterwon 70%, needs 64% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 64% to break even | 59%–92% | 16 points betterwon 80%, needs 64% |
| This season | 24 of 3080%needs 64% to break even | 66%–89% | 16 points betterwon 80%, needs 64% |
| Last season | 27 of 3479%needs 64% to break even | 66%–88% | 15 points betterwon 79%, needs 64% |
| Every game | 51 of 6480%needs 64% to break even | 70%–87% | 16 points betterwon 80%, needs 64% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TOR plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against CLB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
TOR +1.5 (spread)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against tor +1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  RBNY | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 14 |  ORL | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  MTL | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  NSH | -2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  STL | -2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | ORL | -3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 9 | NSH | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  CHI | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 |  NYC | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 22 |  MIA | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Aug 19 |  CLT | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 15 |  NE | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jul 31 | NYC | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jul 25 |  DC | -1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jul 22 | NE | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jul 16 | MTL | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 23 | CHI | -1 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 16 | CLT | -2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 9 | MIA | -2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 2 |  SJ | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 |  ATL | -1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 22 |  PHI | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 |  ATX | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 11 |  CIN | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 4 |  COL | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 |  CLB | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 | RBNY | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 | CIN | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 |  VAN | -3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 21 |  DAL | -1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 18 | ORL | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 8 |  LAFC | -2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | CHI | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | MIA | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | CLB | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | NE | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | MTL | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 24 | ATL | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 16 | CLB | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 9 | PHI | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jul 26 | CLT | -2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 19 | NSH | -1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jul 16 |  SD | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jul 12 | ATL | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jul 3 | NYC | -2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 28 |  POR | 3 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jun 25 | RBNY | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 31 | CLT | -2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 28 | PHI | -1 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 24 | NSH | -1 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 17 | MTL | 5 | +6.5 | Won |
| May 14 | CIN | -1 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 10 | DC | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| May 3 | NE | -2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 26 | NYC | -1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 19 |  RSL | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 |  MIN | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 6 | MIA | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 29 | VAN | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 22 | RBNY | -1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 | CHI | -1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 | CIN | -2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 | ORL | -2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 | DC | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Toronto FC in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.