This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 20% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 20% to break even | 14%–73% | 20 points betterwon 40%, needs 20% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 20% to break even | 19%–65% | 20 points betterwon 40%, needs 20% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 20% to break even | 17%–54% | 14 points betterwon 33%, needs 20% |
| This season | 8 of 3027%needs 20% to break even | 16%–41% | 7 points betterwon 27%, needs 20% |
| Last season | 6 of 3418%needs 20% to break even | 9%–31% | 2 points shortwon 18%, needs 20% |
| Every game | 14 of 6422%needs 20% to break even | 15%–31% | 2 points betterwon 22%, needs 20% |
Tonight TOR plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against CLB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against tor to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR +1 spreadToronto FC · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 3 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jun 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| May 14 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| 20 of 26· this season77%needs 57% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -4.9Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, TOR gamesToronto FC · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -132at BetRivers | 28 of 34· last season82%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.5Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalToronto FC · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 35% to break even | -7.3Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, TOR gamesToronto FC · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 23 of 34· last season68%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.7Not beating its price |
| TOR +1.5 spreadToronto FC · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -179at Polymarket | 27 of 34· last season79%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.0Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 team totalToronto FC · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -258at Polymarket | 25 of 30· this season83%needs 72% to break even | Record is this season's | -14.5Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 team totalToronto FC · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +212at Polymarket | 11 of 34· last season32%needs 32% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, TOR gamesToronto FC · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 10 of 30· this season33%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | -29.2Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalToronto FC · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -228at Kalshi | 27 of 34· last season79%needs 70% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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