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Nashville SC @ CF Montreal: under 3.5
Won24 of 34last season · 71%
Best price-179Polymarket
Price needs64.2%wins to break even
Every game44 of 64this season and last
Trend score-12.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 64% to break even | 44%–95% | 16 points betterwon 80%, needs 64% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 64% to break even | 44%–87% | 6 points betterwon 70%, needs 64% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 64% to break even | 52%–87% | 9 points betterwon 73%, needs 64% |
| This season | 20 of 3067%needs 64% to break even | 52%–79% | 3 points betterwon 67%, needs 64% |
| Last season | 24 of 3471%needs 64% to break even | 57%–82% | 6 points betterwon 71%, needs 64% |
| Every game | 44 of 6469%needs 64% to break even | 59%–77% | 5 points betterwon 69%, needs 64% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MTL plays at home, as the underdog, against NSH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Nashville SC @ CF Montreal: under 3.52 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  SEA | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 14 |  ATL | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  TOR | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  CIN | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  CLB | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  COL | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 9 |  CLT | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  PHI | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 |  MIA | 8 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Aug 22 |  LA | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 19 | CLB | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 15 |  DC | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 1 |  NE | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 25 | MIA | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jul 22 |  NSH | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jul 16 | TOR | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| May 23 | DC | 8 | -4.5 | Lost |
| May 16 |  CHI | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 13 |  POR | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 9 |  ORL | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 2 | ATL | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 25 |  NYC | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 |  RBNY | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 11 | PHI | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 4 | NE | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 22 | CIN | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 | ORL | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 | RBNY | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 | CHI | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 |  SD | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 18 | CIN | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | NSH | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | CLT | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | RBNY | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  STL | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | TOR | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 23 |  ATX | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 16 | DC | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 9 | ATL | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jul 25 | NE | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 19 | CHI | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jul 16 | PHI | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jul 12 | ORL | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jul 5 | MIA | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 28 | NYC | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jun 25 | CIN | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 14 |  HOU | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 31 | NE | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 28 | MIA | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| May 24 |  LAFC | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 17 | TOR | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| May 14 | CLB | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 10 | NYC | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 3 | PHI | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 26 | RBNY | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 19 | ORL | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 | CLT | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 | CLB | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 29 | CHI | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 22 | NSH | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 | DC | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 |  VAN | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 |  MIN | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 22 | ATL | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, MTL gamesCF Montreal · Tomorrow 1:30 PM ET |  -164at Polymarket | 19 of 30· this season63%needs 62% to break even | Record is this season's | -24.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 3 game total, MTL gamesCF Montreal · Tomorrow 1:30 PM ET | PIN-101at Pinnacle | 10 of 21· this season48%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -27.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 3.5 game total, MTL gamesCF Montreal · Tomorrow 1:30 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 10 of 30· this season33%needs 39% to break even | Record is this season's | -22.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on CF Montreal in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.