This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 66% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 66% to break even | 27%–86% | 6 points shortwon 60%, needs 66% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 66% to break even | 35%–81% | 6 points shortwon 60%, needs 66% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 66% to break even | 52%–87% | 8 points betterwon 73%, needs 66% |
| This season | 21 of 3070%needs 66% to break even | 55%–82% | 4 points betterwon 70%, needs 66% |
| Last season | 23 of 3468%needs 66% to break even | 54%–79% | 2 points betterwon 68%, needs 66% |
| Every game | 44 of 6469%needs 66% to break even | 59%–77% | 3 points betterwon 69%, needs 66% |
Tonight MTL plays at home, as the underdog, against NSH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against mtl +1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL to win moneylineCF Montreal · Tomorrow 1:30 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | -6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 15 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 23 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 16 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | -5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 18 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 5 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jun 25 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 31 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | -5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 6 of 30· this season20%needs 20% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -12.1Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, MTL gamesCF Montreal · Tomorrow 1:30 PM ET | -179at Polymarket | 24 of 34· last season71%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 team totalCF Montreal · Tomorrow 1:30 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 11 of 30· this season37%needs 36% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.9Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, MTL gamesCF Montreal · Tomorrow 1:30 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 18 of 34· last season53%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.9Not beating its price |
| Under 3 game total, MTL gamesCF Montreal · Tomorrow 1:30 PM ET | LVG-111at LowVig | 18 of 28· last season64%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.4Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalCF Montreal · Tomorrow 1:30 PM ET | -284at Polymarket | 27 of 34· last season79%needs 74% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.9Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalCF Montreal · Tomorrow 1:30 PM ET | +222at Polymarket | 10 of 30· this season33%needs 31% to break even | Record is this season's | -18.0Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, MTL gamesCF Montreal · Tomorrow 1:30 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 10 of 30· this season33%needs 39% to break even | Record is this season's | -22.9Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, MTL gamesCF Montreal · Tomorrow 1:30 PM ET | -164at Polymarket | 19 of 30· this season63%needs 62% to break even | Record is this season's | -24.3Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 team totalCF Montreal · Tomorrow 1:30 PM ET | -214at Polymarket | 22 of 34· last season65%needs 68% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.9Not beating its price |
| Over 3 game total, MTL gamesCF Montreal · Tomorrow 1:30 PM ET | PIN-101at Pinnacle | 10 of 21· this season48%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -27.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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