This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 39% to break even | 5%–56% | 19 points shortwon 20%, needs 39% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 39% to break even | 13%–56% | 9 points shortwon 30%, needs 39% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 39% to break even | 13%–48% | 13 points shortwon 27%, needs 39% |
| This season | 10 of 3033%needs 39% to break even | 21%–48% | 6 points shortwon 33%, needs 39% |
| Last season | 10 of 3429%needs 39% to break even | 18%–43% | 10 points shortwon 29%, needs 39% |
| Every game | 20 of 6431%needs 39% to break even | 23%–41% | 8 points shortwon 31%, needs 39% |
Tonight MTL plays at home, as the underdog, against NSH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, MTL gamesCF Montreal · Tomorrow 1:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL to win moneylineCF Montreal · Tomorrow 1:30 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| May 16 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 14 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 31 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 14 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| 18 of 34· last season53%needs 41% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -13.9Not beating its price |
| Under 3 game total, MTL gamesCF Montreal · Tomorrow 1:30 PM ET | LVG-111at LowVig | 18 of 28· last season64%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.4Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, MTL gamesCF Montreal · Tomorrow 1:30 PM ET | -179at Polymarket | 24 of 34· last season71%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 6 of 30· this season20%needs 20% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -12.1Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 team totalCF Montreal · Tomorrow 1:30 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 11 of 30· this season37%needs 36% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.9Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalCF Montreal · Tomorrow 1:30 PM ET | -284at Polymarket | 27 of 34· last season79%needs 74% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.9Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalCF Montreal · Tomorrow 1:30 PM ET | +222at Polymarket | 10 of 30· this season33%needs 31% to break even | Record is this season's | -18.0Not beating its price |
| MTL +1.5 spreadCF Montreal · Tomorrow 1:30 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 21 of 30· this season70%needs 66% to break even | Record is this season's | -18.3Not beating its price |
| MTL +1 spreadCF Montreal · Tomorrow 1:30 PM ET | PIN-123at Pinnacle | 16 of 27· last season59%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.3Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 team totalCF Montreal · Tomorrow 1:30 PM ET | -214at Polymarket | 22 of 34· last season65%needs 68% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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