This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 43% to break even | 14%–73% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% | lost by 0.8goals |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 43% to break even | 13%–56% | 13 points shortwon 30%, needs 43% | lost by 1.4goals |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 43% to break even | 22%–61% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% | lost by 1goals |
| This season | 13 of 3043%needs 43% to break even | 30%–58% | 1 points betterwon 43%, needs 43% | lost by 0.8goals |
| Last season |
Tonight MTL plays at home, as the underdog, against NSH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 17 of 32 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against MTL +0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, MTL gamesCF Montreal · Today 1:30 PM ET |
| 34%–61% |
| 5 points betterwon 47%, needs 43% |
| lost by 0.8goals |
| Every game | 29 of 6445%needs 43% to break even | 35%–56% | 3 points betterwon 45%, needs 43% | lost by 0.8goals |
| Margin |
|---|
| Beat -0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | -6 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 16 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | -5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 18 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 5 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 25 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 31 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | -5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| 10 of 34· last season29%needs 22% to break even11 of 32 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -9.3Not beating its price |
| MTL to win moneylineCF Montreal · Today 1:30 PM ET | +465at Polymarket | 6 of 30· this season20%needs 18% to break even6 of 32 at home | Record is this season's | -10.4Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, MTL gamesCF Montreal · Today 1:30 PM ET | -172at Polymarket | 24 of 34· last season71%needs 63% to break even22 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -12.0Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, MTL gamesCF Montreal · Today 1:30 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 18 of 34· last season53%needs 40% to break even17 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Under 3 game total, MTL gamesCF Montreal · Today 1:30 PM ET | LVG-111at LowVig | 18 of 28· last season64%needs 53% to break even17 of 27 at home | Record is last season's | -14.4Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 team totalCF Montreal · Today 1:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 11 of 30· this season37%needs 38% to break even11 of 32 at home | Record is this season's | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalCF Montreal · Today 1:30 PM ET | +252at Kalshi | 10 of 30· this season33%needs 28% to break even8 of 32 at home | Record is this season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalCF Montreal · Today 1:30 PM ET | -299at Polymarket | 27 of 34· last season79%needs 75% to break even24 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -18.9Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: No, MTL gamesCF Montreal · Today 1:30 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 14 of 30· this season47%needs 45% to break even14 of 32 at home | Record is this season's | -19.0Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: Yes, MTL gamesCF Montreal · Today 1:30 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 20 of 34· last season59%needs 59% to break even18 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -19.7Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 team totalCF Montreal · Today 1:30 PM ET | -195at Polymarket | 22 of 34· last season65%needs 66% to break even21 of 32 at home | Record is last season's | -23.0Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, MTL gamesCF Montreal · Today 1:30 PM ET | +152at FanDuel | 10 of 30· this season33%needs 40% to break even10 of 32 at home | Record is this season's | -23.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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