This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 46% to break even | 5%–56% | 26 points shortwon 20%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 46% to break even | 2%–35% | 36 points shortwon 10%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 46% to break even | 8%–41% | 26 points shortwon 20%, needs 46% |
| This season | 7 of 3023%needs 46% to break even | 13%–38% | 23 points shortwon 23%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 13 of 3933%needs 46% to break even | 22%–46% | 13 points shortwon 33%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 20 of 6929%needs 46% to break even | 21%–39% | 17 points shortwon 29%, needs 46% |
Tonight NYC plays on the road, as the underdog, against ORL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, NYC gamesNew York City FC · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYC to win moneylineNew York City FC · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 18 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 31 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 24 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 17 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 3 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 12 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 31 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 25 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 36% to break even |
| -0.4Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, NYC gamesNew York City FC · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 56% to break even | 1.3Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 20 of 39· last season51%needs 36% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -19.4Not beating its price |
| NYC 0 spreadNew York City FC · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +108at BetUS | 20 of 33· last season61%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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