This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 30%needs 48% to break even | 0%–47% | 48 points shortwon 0%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 520%needs 48% to break even | 5%–56% | 28 points shortwon 20%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 933%needs 48% to break even | 14%–60% | 15 points shortwon 33%, needs 48% |
| This season | 8 of 2040%needs 48% to break even | 24%–58% | 8 points shortwon 40%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 20 of 3361%needs 48% to break even | 46%–73% | 13 points betterwon 61%, needs 48% |
| Every game | 28 of 5353%needs 48% to break even | 42%–64% | 5 points betterwon 53%, needs 48% |
Tonight NYC plays on the road, as the underdog, against ORL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against nyc 0, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 game total, NYC gamesNew York City FC · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 14 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 18 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 29 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 19 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jul 31 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jul 25 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| May 23 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| May 16 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 13 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| May 10 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| May 3 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 18 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 22 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 28 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 24 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 17 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 17 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jul 16 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jul 3 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jun 12 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| May 31 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 28 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| May 25 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| May 17 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| May 14 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 10 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 0 | 0 | Tie | |
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 56% to break even |
| 1.3Slight |
| Under 2.5 game total, NYC gamesNew York City FC · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 35% to break even | 0.5Slight |
| Under 1.5 team totalNew York City FC · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 54% to break even | -6.3Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 team totalNew York City FC · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +373at Kalshi | 11 of 39· last season28%needs 21% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.6Not beating its price |
| NYC to win moneylineNew York City FC · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +180at BetRivers | 20 of 39· last season51%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.4Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 team totalNew York City FC · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -525at Kalshi | 24 of 30· this season80%needs 84% to break even | Record is this season's | -29.3Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalNew York City FC · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 17 of 39· last season44%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.4Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, NYC gamesNew York City FC · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +117at BetRivers | 13 of 39· last season33%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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