This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 36% to break even | 0%–35% | 36 points shortwon 0%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 36% to break even | 2%–35% | 26 points shortwon 10%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 36% to break even | 8%–41% | 16 points shortwon 20%, needs 36% |
| This season | 8 of 3027%needs 36% to break even | 16%–41% | 9 points shortwon 27%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 20 of 3951%needs 36% to break even | 38%–64% | 16 points betterwon 51%, needs 36% |
| Every game | 28 of 6941%needs 36% to break even | 31%–50% | 5 points betterwon 41%, needs 36% |
Tonight NYC plays on the road, as the underdog, against ORL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against nyc to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 game total, NYC gamesNew York City FC · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 18 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 23 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 24 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 12 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 25 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 56% to break even |
| 1.3Slight |
| Under 2.5 game total, NYC gamesNew York City FC · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 35% to break even | 0.5Slight |
| Under 1.5 team totalNew York City FC · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 54% to break even | -6.3Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 team totalNew York City FC · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +373at Kalshi | 11 of 39· last season28%needs 21% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.6Not beating its price |
| NYC 0 spreadNew York City FC · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +108at BetUS | 20 of 33· last season61%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.5Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 team totalNew York City FC · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -525at Kalshi | 24 of 30· this season80%needs 84% to break even | Record is this season's | -29.3Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalNew York City FC · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 17 of 39· last season44%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.4Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, NYC gamesNew York City FC · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +117at BetRivers | 13 of 39· last season33%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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