This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 60% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 60% to break even | 14%–73% | 20 points shortwon 40%, needs 60% | lost by 0.8goals |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 60% to break even | 35%–81% | evenwon 60%, needs 60% | lost by 0.3goals |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 60% to break even | 39%–78% | evenwon 60%, needs 60% | lost by 0.1goals |
| This season | 18 of 3060%needs 60% to break even | 45%–73% | evenwon 60%, needs 60% | won by 0.1goals |
| Last season | 26 of 3967%needs 60% to break even | 54%–78% | 7 points betterwon 67%, needs 60% | won by 0.2goals |
| Every game | 44 of 6964%needs 60% to break even | 54%–73% | 4 points betterwon 64%, needs 60% | won by 0.1goals |
Tonight NYC plays on the road, as the underdog, against ORL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 23 of 36 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against NYC +0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 18 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 31 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 23 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 5 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 24 | -4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 17 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 17 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 3 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 12 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| May 31 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 25 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 14 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.