This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 41% to break even | 0%–35% | 41 points shortwon 0%, needs 41% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 41% to break even | 13%–56% | 11 points shortwon 30%, needs 41% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 41% to break even | 13%–48% | 14 points shortwon 27%, needs 41% |
| This season | 9 of 3030%needs 41% to break even | 18%–45% | 11 points shortwon 30%, needs 41% |
| Last season | 22 of 3759%needs 41% to break even | 46%–72% | 19 points betterwon 59%, needs 41% |
| Every game | 31 of 6746%needs 41% to break even | 37%–56% | 6 points betterwon 46%, needs 41% |
Tonight PHI plays at home, as the favorite, against NE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 15 of 34 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Philadelphia Union game, newest first: whether both teams scored.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 17 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Sep 9 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Sep 5 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Aug 29 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jul 22 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 24 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 16 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 13 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 9 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 2 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Apr 25 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Apr 22 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Apr 11 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Mar 1 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Last season | |||
| Nov 23 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Nov 1 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Oct 26 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Oct 4 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Sep 27 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Sep 20 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Sep 13 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Aug 30 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Aug 23 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Aug 16 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Aug 9 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jul 5 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jun 29 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jun 25 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jun 14 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 31 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| May 28 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 24 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 17 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| May 14 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 10 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 3 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Apr 19 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Apr 12 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Apr 5 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Mar 29 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Mar 16 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Mar 1 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | Both scored | Lost | |
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score: Yes, PHI gamesPhiladelphia Union · Today 7:30 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 65% to break even19 of 34 at home | -16.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.