This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 44% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 44% to break even | 35%–81% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 44% to break even | 28%–67% | 3 points betterwon 47%, needs 44% |
| This season | 7 of 3023%needs 44% to break even | 13%–38% | 20 points shortwon 23%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 10 of 3727%needs 44% to break even | 17%–40% | 17 points shortwon 27%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 17 of 6725%needs 44% to break even | 18%–35% | 18 points shortwon 25%, needs 44% |
Tonight PHI plays at home, as the favorite, against NE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against phi -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 team totalPhiladelphia Union · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 23 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | -7 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 5 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 29 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 9 of 37· last season24%needs 13% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -6.9Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, PHI gamesPhiladelphia Union · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +105at BetUS | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 49% to break even | -10.3Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalPhiladelphia Union · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 44% to break even | -14.1Not beating its price |
| PHI to win moneylinePhiladelphia Union · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -175at Hard Rock | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 64% to break even | -16.5Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalPhiladelphia Union · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 19 of 37· last season51%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.5Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, PHI gamesPhiladelphia Union · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 18 of 37· last season49%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.7Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 team totalPhiladelphia Union · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -1428at Kalshi | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 93% to break even | -20.0Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalPhiladelphia Union · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 27 of 37· last season73%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.3Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, PHI gamesPhiladelphia Union · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -127at BetRivers | 26 of 37· last season70%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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