This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 44% to break even | 27%–86% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 44% to break even | 35%–81% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 44% to break even | 39%–78% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| This season | 12 of 3040%needs 44% to break even | 27%–55% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 10 of 3727%needs 44% to break even | 17%–40% | 17 points shortwon 27%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 22 of 6733%needs 44% to break even | 24%–43% | 11 points shortwon 33%, needs 44% |
Tonight PHI plays at home, as the favorite, against NE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
PHI goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 team totalPhiladelphia Union · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, PHI gamesPhiladelphia Union · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | PHI goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 16 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 23 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 29 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| 9 of 37· last season24%needs 12% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -5.9Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalPhiladelphia Union · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 19 of 37· last season51%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.5Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalPhiladelphia Union · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 27 of 37· last season73%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 49% to break even |
| -10.3Not beating its price |
| PHI to win moneylinePhiladelphia Union · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -175at Hard Rock | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 64% to break even | -16.5Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, PHI gamesPhiladelphia Union · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 18 of 37· last season49%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.7Not beating its price |
| PHI -1.5 spreadPhiladelphia Union · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 44% to break even | -20.6Not beating its price |
| PHI -1 spreadPhiladelphia Union · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | PIN-118at Pinnacle | 6 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped75%needs 54% to break even | -20.7Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, PHI gamesPhiladelphia Union · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -127at BetRivers | 26 of 37· last season70%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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