This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 25% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 25% to break even | 44%–95% | 55 points betterwon 80%, needs 25% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 25% to break even | 19%–65% | 15 points betterwon 40%, needs 25% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 25% to break even | 17%–54% | 8 points betterwon 33%, needs 25% |
| This season | 10 of 3033%needs 25% to break even | 21%–48% | 8 points betterwon 33%, needs 25% |
| Last season | 7 of 3918%needs 25% to break even | 10%–30% | 7 points shortwon 18%, needs 25% |
| Every game | 17 of 6925%needs 25% to break even | 17%–34% | evenwon 25%, needs 25% |
Tonight SD plays at home, as the favorite, against SEA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 9 of 36 at home.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every San Diego FC game, newest first: whether it ended level.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 17 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 14 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 10 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 20 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 13 | Decided by 5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 25 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 23 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 16 | Draw | Won | |
| May 13 | Decided by 5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | Draw | Won | |
| May 2 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 25 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 14 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 7 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | Decided by 5 | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| Nov 29 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 26 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 13 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 17 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 31 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 28 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 24 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 17 | Draw | Won | |
| May 14 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 10 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 3 | Decided by 5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 8 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | Draw | Won | |
| Feb 23 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.