This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 44% to break even | 0%–35% | 44 points shortwon 0%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 44% to break even | 7%–46% | 24 points shortwon 20%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 44% to break even | 13%–48% | 18 points shortwon 27%, needs 44% |
| This season | 8 of 3027%needs 44% to break even | 16%–41% | 18 points shortwon 27%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 22 of 3956%needs 44% to break even | 43%–69% | 12 points betterwon 56%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 30 of 6943%needs 44% to break even | 34%–53% | 1 points shortwon 43%, needs 44% |
Tonight SD plays at home, as the favorite, against SEA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against sd -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, SD gamesSan Diego FC · Sat, Oct 24, 10:30 PM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 5 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 25 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 31 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 50% to break even |
| -5.6Not beating its price |
| SD to win moneylineSan Diego FC · Sat, Oct 24, 10:30 PM ET | PIN+119at Pinnacle | 22 of 39· last season56%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.9Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, SD gamesSan Diego FC · Sat, Oct 24, 10:30 PM ET | -129at BetOnline | 24 of 39· last season62%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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