This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 56% to break even | 0%–35% | 56 points shortwon 0%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 56% to break even | 7%–46% | 36 points shortwon 20%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 56% to break even | 22%–61% | 16 points shortwon 40%, needs 56% |
| This season | 13 of 3043%needs 56% to break even | 30%–58% | 13 points shortwon 43%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 24 of 3962%needs 56% to break even | 48%–73% | 5 points betterwon 62%, needs 56% |
| Every game | 37 of 6954%needs 56% to break even | 44%–63% | 3 points shortwon 54%, needs 56% |
Tonight SD plays at home, as the favorite, against SEA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, SD gamesSan Diego FC · Sat, Oct 24, 10:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD -0.5 spreadSan Diego FC · Sat, Oct 24, 10:30 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 23 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Aug 17 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 5 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | 8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 50% to break even |
| -5.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 22 of 39· last season56%needs 44% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -24.6Not beating its price |
| SD to win moneylineSan Diego FC · Sat, Oct 24, 10:30 PM ET | PIN+119at Pinnacle | 22 of 39· last season56%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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