This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 57% to break even | 44%–95% | 23 points betterwon 80%, needs 57% | 1.2goals |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 57% to break even | 44%–87% | 13 points betterwon 70%, needs 57% | 1.3goals |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 57% to break even | 46%–83% | 10 points betterwon 67%, needs 57% | 1.3goals |
| This season | 19 of 3063%needs 57% to break even | 48%–76% | 7 points betterwon 63%, needs 57% | 1.3goals |
| Last season |
Tonight ATX plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against SKC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 22 of 33 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
ATX goals in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalAustin FC · Today 8:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, ATX gamesAustin FC · Today 8:30 PM ET |
| 26 of 3672%needs 57% to break even |
| 59%–83% |
| 16 points betterwon 72%, needs 57% |
| 1.1goals |
| Every game | 45 of 6668%needs 57% to break even | 58%–77% | 11 points betterwon 68%, needs 57% | 1.2goals |
| Date | Opponent | ATX goals | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 11 of 30· this season37%needs 48% to break even11 of 33 on the road |
| Record is this season's |
| -29.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 25% to break even5 of 33 on the road |
| -6.1Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, ATX gamesAustin FC · Today 8:30 PM ET | -148at MyBookie | 28 of 36· last season78%needs 60% to break even22 of 33 on the road | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, ATX gamesAustin FC · Today 8:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 19 of 36· last season53%needs 38% to break even11 of 33 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.9Not beating its price |
| ATX to win moneylineAustin FC · Today 8:30 PM ET | +210at BetRivers | 13 of 36· last season36%needs 32% to break even9 of 33 on the road | Record is last season's | -18.3Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: No, ATX gamesAustin FC · Today 8:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 16 of 36· last season44%needs 36% to break even13 of 33 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.7Not beating its price |
| ATX +0.5 spreadAustin FC · Today 8:30 PM ET | -151at MyBookie | 21 of 36· last season58%needs 60% to break even14 of 33 on the road | Record is last season's | -20.3Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, ATX gamesAustin FC · Today 8:30 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 21 of 30· this season70%needs 67% to break even22 of 33 on the road | Record is this season's | -22.6Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, ATX gamesAustin FC · Today 8:30 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 45% to break even11 of 33 on the road | -25.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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