This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 46% to break even | 27%–86% | 14 points betterwon 60%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 46% to break even | 13%–56% | 16 points shortwon 30%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 46% to break even | 13%–48% | 19 points shortwon 27%, needs 46% |
| This season | 11 of 3037%needs 46% to break even | 24%–52% | 9 points shortwon 37%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 8 of 3622%needs 46% to break even | 13%–35% | 24 points shortwon 22%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 19 of 6629%needs 46% to break even | 21%–39% | 17 points shortwon 29%, needs 46% |
Tonight ATX plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against SKC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 game total, ATX gamesAustin FC · Sat, Oct 24, 8:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATX to win moneylineAustin FC · Sat, Oct 24, 8:30 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 23 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 2 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 26 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 7 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| 28 of 36· last season78%needs 60% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -11.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 13 of 36· last season36%needs 33% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -19.3Not beating its price |
| ATX +0.5 spreadAustin FC · Sat, Oct 24, 8:30 PM ET | -151at MyBookie | 21 of 36· last season58%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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